[Dati AR Republic Cup / jockey]An Incredible 100% Matchup Rate with Match Conditions Tendency to be a “flat iron” for the master of the East | SPREAD

On the 6th, the traditional heavy handicap prize at Tokyo Hippodrome,Argentina Cup(GII, 2500m turf).

The Tokyo Shiba 2500m is a course that is only used twice a year, and it can be said that it is the exclusive distance for the Meguro Kinen in May and the Argentine Republic Cup in November. This time, we will look at the jockey data we are interested in, referring to past data from 2000 onwards, excluding the 2002 Nakayama event.

◆[Pronostico Coppa della Repubblica Argentina 2022]Data / trends from the last 10 years, recovery, frame order, runners, video summary

■ The axis is decided by jockey Keita Tosaki

Of the jockeys participating in this year’s Argentine Republic Cup, 13 have racing experience in competitions since 2000, excluding the 2002 Nakayama race. The statistics for each jockey are as follows:

[2000年以降]Results as a jockey in the Argentine Republic Cup (excluding 2002 played in Nakayama)

At the same time that there is a large variation in the number of riders each jockey leads, we can clearly see a tendency for only a few jockeys to run well.

The first thing I’d like to mention is the excellent balance of order of arrival and popularity, and the highest ranking rate is a record 57.1%.Keita TozakiI am a jockey. As you can see from[1.3.1.2]there are many horse races that cannot be won, but Asuka Kurichan in 2013 (1st with 7 favorites), Taisei Trail in 2019 (2nd with 5 favorites), Last Draft in 2020 (2nd with 6 favorites)), etc., have brought horseback riding to the pinnacle of popularity in all of the past seven races.

Last year, he finished 4th behind 3rd place in 9th favorite Lexence and the difference from Hana. Although the raw results of him are excellent, the combination of[Jockey Keita Tozaki]And[Handicap di 56 kg o più]is[1.3.0.0]which is an amazing 100%. As previously mentioned, Asuka Kurichan, Taisei Trail, and Last Draft fall into this category, so it’s worth noting that the results aren’t limited to popular horses.

The jockey has a handicap of 57 kg at this year’s Argentine Republic Cup.beaten heat(5 horses, Ritto / Yasuo Tomomichi stable). Oddly enough, the same horse falls into the hot data and is the third most popular with 6.2 times over the previous day. If past figures apply to this year as well, you can take this popularity as a solid axis.

■ Jockey M. Demuro is also strong

Subsequently, he boasts a higher top-to-match ratio than Keita Tozaki.M. DemuroLet’s take a look at the pilot.

The jockey himself tends not to be able to win, but there are four betting tickets involved, such as Swave Richard in 2017 (1st favorite 1st) and Meiner Wirts in 2021 (4th favorite 2nd). Furthermore, the combination of[M. Demuro jockey]x[4° più popolare del giorno]is[1.2.1.0]which also has a maximum ratio of 100%.

Also, jockey M. Demuro was 15th most popular the day before.Mynel Fanlong(7 horses, Miho Takahisa Tezuka Stable). If this popularity continues into the day, it will be difficult, but you need to check the popularity of the day.

■ Is the jockey C. Lemaire also popular?

Finally, the top ratio of 33.3%C. LemaireLet’s take a look at the pilot. The jockey is on consecutive victories with the Authority 2020 (3 favorites) and the Authority 2021 (1 favorite).

Captain Tosen’s results in 2009 (7th favorite, 17th place) had an effect, and while there is a steep drop in the order of finish versus popularity, it’s not bad at all.[2.0.1.1]among the top 3 favorites.

The jockey was the fifth most popular the day beforebosszilla(6 horses, Miho Kunieda Sakae stable). If it appears to be recommended by the 3rd most popular spot of the day, hold it down.

That’s all for the Argentine Republic Cup jockey data. The data attention jockey is Keita Tosaki, who calculated the perfect data. It will be interesting to see if we can see a better run over popularity this year.

▼ Other data forecasts
◆[Acquisizione dati]Tailwind with a win rate of “over 70%” for TORoyal “Great advantage”

◆[Acquisizione dati]Killer skill has a 5.0% block in the betting ticket “Careful Judge Needed”

◆[Acquisizione dati]Assumption “15 popularity” under the same conditions “0.5.1.1”

◆[Acquisizione dati]Ambush with the condition of “more than 80%” in the betting ticket “Find a way out instead of the stage”

Argentine Republic Cup 2022 prediction columns

▼ Recovery diagnosis
◆[Diagnosi di recupero]”B” rating of dissatisfaction with a talented horse showing no signs of improvement “Summer fatigue is persistent”

◆[Diagnosi di recupero]”A” rated ambush along with killer abilities “I won’t be surprised if there is a winning or losing run”

◆[Diagnosi di recupero]”A” rating for a famous record horse “The evidence assumes the battle royal is almost perfect”

◆[Diagnosi di recupero]The “S” rating is a deki that can bring out all the skill “The previous race was a milestone looking at the next”

▼ Forecast of Anuma
◆[Anuma Analyze vol.1]Planets around the alleged “8 popularity” “The smell of a shot is drifting”

◆[Anauma Analyze vol.2]The previous day’s “10 or more popular” bursts “The basics for delivering high dividends are complete”

◆[Anuma Analyze vol.3]The odds of winning “ 2 digits ” are determined by the blind spots “ With this condition, you can “ reproduce ”

◆[Cavallo popolare pericoloso]Even with 100% of the data in the betting ticket, it is “wiped” “It is not attractive and there are many uncertainties”

▼ Other data trends over the past 10 years
◆[Ordine frame]Teoh Royal and Killer Ability are 3 frames with a 16.7% betting rate.

[Trend del pedigree]Sudden emergence under the condition of “2-digit” and “over 70%” odds in the betting ticket due to the crushing defeat of the GIs

◆[Tendenza della qualità delle gambe]0% Win Rate for Escape and Pursuit Killer skills are dangerous if you focus on compromise

◆[Gara precedente]The All-comers group wins the most two wins, but the last 13 horses are involved in the “buy” condition of the betting ticket

◆[Riproduzione video / Coppa della Repubblica Argentina 2021]In response to the popularity, the Authority achieved consecutive victories with a maximum handicap of two and a half lengths

Profile of the author

Daisuke Ito ● “UMAJIN.net” editorial staff.
Born in Akita prefecture. Having worked for a sports-related book publisher and horse racing magazine, he is currently responsible for writing and analyzing horse racing data at UMAJIN.net. In “SPREAD”, we will collect remarkable horses and jockeys from “horse body analysis”, which has a strong subjective element, and “jockey data”, which is an accumulation of objective data.