Red areas in Chiusi (Siena), in three municipalities of Abruzzo, in half Umbria; alarm in Bologna, for the outbreak with ten positives in the Gastroenterology department of Sant’Orsola, and in the Marche, in the schools of Tolentino, Pollenza and Castelfidardo: there are only five examples that have a common element, the presence of the English variants (mostly ) and Brazilian.
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These are alarm bells that in Italy raise the level of attention because it has now been shown that the transmission speed is extremely higher than the original version of Sars-CoV-2. Not only that: yesterday the governor of Molise, Donato Toma, arranged a red zone in 27 municipalities, including that of Termoli, due to an anomalous increase in new cases. It is not known if it depends on the presence of the variants, but this is also an important piece.
Pitfalls
Faced with this constantly expanding scenario, the Higher Institute of Health has invited everyone to take a supplement of prudence; yet in a week, if there are no changes, Italians will be able to move from one Region to another, as long as they are “yellow”. “We cannot afford it” is the thesis of the Scientific Technical Committee. Reopening the borders of the Regions is a pitfall, because the characteristic of the diffusion of the variants, we have now understood this by observing the trend of the epidemic in other European countries, is that they often begin to circulate under the radar, to then explode the numbers of infections and of hospitalizations suddenly.
It happened in the United Kingdom, probably also in Portugal, which today is the European nation in greatest difficulty. It has been seen, fortunately with much lower numbers, in Umbria. Allowing Italians to move freely from one part of the country to another, while remaining in the yellow regions, risks granting motorways to variants. For this reason the Technical Scientific Committee had asked for two measures. The first: to extend the stop to travel.
The second: to introduce another element that triggers stricter containment measures because, at times, the “yellow band” is not enough. The idea: provide a higher band when the incidence of new cases on a weekly basis is greater than 250 per 100 thousand inhabitants. The governors, however, objected and therefore this additional parachute was given up.
The crux of the movements between Regions remains. The decree expires on Monday 15 February. But only the new government, which is forming the appointed president Mario Draghi, can pass a decree. Will we be in time? Theoretically yes, because it is expected that by the end of the week the new executive will be sworn in. But then it will be necessary to understand if there will be the will to do so.
Could not the outgoing government intervene? The minister for regional affairs, Francesco Boccia, has already expressed himself on this, who in recent days explained in a note sent to the Conference of Governors: «On February 15 the ban on mobility between regions expires. It will be the new government to make an assessment, on the basis of the epidemiological framework, on the mobility between the Regions in the different bands and in particular in the yellow band, also because any limiting measures require a specific decree “. In the absence of a new provision, the movements between regions could start again next week. Yet, the recent report from the control room (Ministry of Health and Higher Institute of Health) asked, on the contrary, to maintain a very high level of attention. And he appealed to the citizens asking them to “stay at home as much as possible”.
THE NUMBERS
Never as in this phase of the epidemic has there been a discrepancy between what the numbers say (relatively low, given that most of the Regions are in the yellow band) and what it is feared that could happen due to the variations. The data on the new positives also seem to go in this direction: yesterday 11,641 infected, 270 deaths, 21,272 hospitalized for Covid (minus 145), a positive rate on total tampons at 5.6 per cent. However, there are some signs to be evaluated: the daily average of new admissions to intensive care is increasing (+ 7 per cent), while compared to the Sunday of the previous week the new positives have risen by almost 400 units. Among the Regions, there are two cases to be monitored for opposite reasons: the collapse of new infected in Veneto continues (yesterday just 496); worries about the increase in infected people in Campania, yesterday it was the Region with the most new positives, 1,741.
Last updated: 02:37
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