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Covid-19 would be less virulent than a cold in a few years: experts

The world continues to discover more features and secrets of the Covid-19, and in one of the most recent investigations, experts have suggested that the coronavirus it may not be more virulent than a common cold.

The team led by Jennie S. Lavine of Emory University in Atlanta developed a model that incorporated components of immunity to recapitulate the current severity of SARS-CoV-2 the benign nature of HCoV (human reported coronavirus).

Research published in Science recalled that in recent decades humanity has had to face various acute infections, including SARS, MERS, the Hendra and the Ebola, evils that could be controlled locally, a fact that did not happen with SARS-CoV-2.

“We must understand and plan the transition to endemicity and continuous circulation, with possible changes in the severity of the disease due to the evolution of the virus and the accumulation of immunity and resistance of the host,” they indicated.

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What the experts proposed is a model to explore the potential changes in both transmission and severity of emerging HCV disease through endemicity, as the current situation responds to a acute public health problem.

“Immunological characteristics govern the transition of Covid-19 to endemicity”, the name of the study, has predicted that the disease will play an important role in children, where they will be more notorious and infections will take place.

What the researchers have wanted to highlight with this work is the importance of containment of the disease during the launch of a vaccine, while prompting us to evaluate scenarios to continue vaccination during the endemic phase.

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Within the study, experts highlighted the importance of slowing the epidemic through social distancing measures in order to flatten the curve, which by delaying infections allows the development of an effective vaccine.

“Using symptoms as a surveillance tool to slow the spread of the virus will be more difficult, as milder reinfections increasingly contribute to chains of transmission and attack rates at the population level,” the researchers added.

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