At present, it is estimated that the outbreak of “COVID-19” is changing from the original…from more than a year ago. This is a soup of strains with many viruses spreading at the same time. The proportions are not very different…It is likely that the current outbreak will be led by “JN.1” as the main strain.
Although there are new strains that have arisen from crossing strains such as XDD, .1”
Therefore, it is the source of looking into the first quarter of 2024 that “JN.1” will be the main strain that dominates the outbreak around the world, including our country. And we must follow closely what the progress of “COVID-19” will be.
In the middle of last week Associate Professor Dr. Teera Worathanarat Still posted on personal Facebook “Thira Woratanarat (Papa Mee Keen)” analyzing the outbreak in Thailand. (Weekly report numbers 24-30 December 2023) also noted that there were 594 patients in hospital, higher than the previous week. 7%…3 deaths
Pneumonia has surpassed 120 cases, exceeding 100 for 3 consecutive weeks, 6.2% more than the previous week, considered the highest in 4 months since the beginning of September 2023 onwards.
…74 patients were intubated, 13.8% higher than the previous week. This was also the highest level in 4 months, and the number of patients requiring intubation continued to increase for the 4th week in a row.
It is estimated that there will be at least 4,243-5,893 “new infections” each day.
Emphasize that currently BA.2.86.x has taken over the outbreak, replacing the previous strain like EG.5.x. This is especially true of JN.1 (i.e. strain BA.2.86.1.1), which now dominates global proportions.
“The holiday season is a time to take stock of your health. Especially if you go on a trip. Participate in various activities If you don’t protect yourself, there is a high chance of being infected and spreading the virus. If you feel sick You should get tested for COVID-19. Even if you get negative results on the first day, don’t be complacent. Check until 4-5 days after symptoms begin. Because the virus will peak during that time.”
…going to work, studying, or anything else, you should protect yourself regularly.
“Look at the trends around the world. It is estimated that in Thailand we have a high chance of being infected and sick during the first 4-6 weeks of this year. Therefore, if the electricity can be cut off from the beginning, it will be better. Paying attention to health is important…”
Back in the past, the warnings were all in the same direction. Dr. Maria Van Kerkhove from the World Health Organization stated that In the past month, the number of hospital and ICU admissions worldwide has increased by 35% more than ever before.
…“When going to activities, you must protect yourself well by wearing a mask. It’s in a place with good ventilation. Avoid crowded places Wash your hands after handling public items. If you’re sick, you should stay home. You shouldn’t wander around. It’s not like letting Joy claim that it’s difficult to avoid Covid. I repeat…it can be prevented with care. If you are sick then it will be difficult for everyone around you.”
At the end of the new year, Assoc. Prof. Dr. Teera also reviewed the international situation that…all of Europe has been dealing with BA.2.86.x (including JN.1) for some time now. Before the global outbreak until now
“Austria” is an example that shows us that COVID-19 has clearly made infected people sick enough to need to be hospitalized over the past three months. The proportion of COVID patients is significantly higher than other respiratory viruses. and occupied more than 50% in the past 4-6 weeks.
Therefore, if there are many outbreaks There will be a lot of people getting sick and going to the hospital.
Of course, at the end of the year like this People travel abroad a lot. Therefore, you should be aware of the situation. in order to be careful and protect oneself It is also interesting that at present the results of a survey of trends in the amount of “virus” from municipal wastewater in various countries are as follows.
Countries with consistently higher rates of virus detection in municipal wastewater include Switzerland, France, Germany, Spain, Slovakia, Slovenia, Hungary, Norway, the Netherlands and Luxembourg.
Countries with unchanged…stable trends include Denmark, Sweden, Finland, Ireland, Scotland, Poland, Australia, New Zealand, United States, India, Hong Kong, and Japan.
Countries that tend to decline after peaking include Austria and Belgium, while countries with no data include the Czech Republic, Latvia, Lithuania, England and Italy.
The important issue is…results from a survey of viruses in wastewater. It is considered an indirect indicator that can be used to assess the outbreak situation and be viewed alongside other information such as news about outbreaks in each area. Problems with increasing number of patients in local hospitals Announcement of warnings in each area, etc.
“Traveling abroad should be careful Protect yourself. Because if you are sick while traveling It’s certainly not fun. And it is quite difficult to find medicine. and have access to care services and wish everyone good health Paying attention to your health is important.”
Closing with a summary of the outstanding situations in “public health” in 2023, number one…the era of the health-tourism-travel policy dichotomy is over.
Number two… Marijuana and kratom affect society all over, including children, youth, adults, and the elderly.
Third place…the number of crimes, violence, assaults, murders, hijackings, robberies, psychiatric problems are many and…related to drugs, gambling, and corruption at each level.
Number four…Dengue fever, influenza, rabies, and smallpox have more outbreaks than statistics from previous years. Reflects problems in disease control and prevention and public health behavior
Number five…the development of the universal health coverage system returns to the main stage as it should once again.
Sixth place…Awareness campaign and campaign for vaccination to prevent cervical cancer in women. It received a very good response from the public.
Seventh place… “COVID–19 is not over” …COVID-19 is not over yet and gaps in service systems that are very different between countries are beginning to be seen.
Number eight…upper stream that used to focus on commercial health Starting to get back into place more and more. and more systematic
Number nine… Personnel problems remain a chronic problem. Not just from quantity But it requires the development of working systems, environments, tools. Including places to stay, food to eat, and more.
To ensure the welfare and safety of the lives of people working in the system.
Tenth place…Air pollution “PM2.5” is still a serious seasonal problem. and affects everyone in society It needs to be seriously addressed.
In conclusion…2023, especially the second half of the year, the overall picture of “public health” appears to be light at the end of the tunnel, despite many “wellness” problems that need to be addressed. In many cases it is a domino effect from the past. which must be borne and resolved in the long term.
2024-01-07 23:01:00
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