Dr Thira Worathanarat looks at Covid 19, the outbreak may last until the middle of the year If they haven’t added a lockdown and so on, if they do like a chicken, they may both die.
On January 10, 2021, Assoc. Prof. Teeraworathanarat, Faculty of Medicine Chulalongkorn University Post a situation COVID 19 pastFacebook Thira Woratanarat It analyzes that the outbreak may last at least until the middle of next year. Thai causes of ambiguity against COVID-19 These two waves hope it tamed itself. No serious lifestyle adjustments have been made, resulting in repeated outbreaks. Another issue is the vaccine that was introduced this year. If calculated, it is 14.8% of the entire population. In order to prevent a widespread epidemic, at least 60% of the population is required to be immune.
When so Therefore, the current situation should be decided to fully suppress this repeated outbreak. If allowed to be prolonged Opportunity to open eyes and mouth would be difficult. Don’t be afraid to use the word lockdown. What you should do is Stop the movement of the population in the crimson, red, orange provinces for at least 2-4 weeks, stop any activities that are at risk of transmission, spend 2-4 weeks doing screening as much as possible, giving people Notice the symptoms themselves and their families. If in doubt, hurry to come to check And work at home for 2-4 weeks, not just asking for cooperation If you keep going like a chicken, dogs and chickens are both likely to be infected with COVID.
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For details are as follows …
Looks like this repeated battle may last at least in the middle of next year.
For two main reasons:
For one, we are not comfortable with these two waves of COVID-19, hoping to tame it on its own. Giving the opportunity to be in control, it would be difficult Because no country can succeed by making a living with the epidemic The most that can be done will be reduced. And wait for the day to erupt again Depending on whether you want to press continuously to the hundreds digits or as little as the tens or ones digits. The chance of eruption will vary accordingly. With such a situation Leaving only to adjust the lifestyle Both trade and service matters, and so on, reduce the risk to a minimum as possible. If not serious adjustments as seen in the past A repeat outbreak will certainly follow.
Two vaccine procurement plans As announced, there are 2 million doses for 1 million Chinese Sinovac vaccine and 26 million doses for 13 million people from the production of the vaccine. Astrazeneca / Oxford Suppose that the injection is complete by the end of the year according to the dream diagram set by the Ministry. In total, 14 million people from the country of 66.56 million (including 11 million unvaccinated children) would be immune to approximately 10 million (78% of Sinovac and Astra / Oxford is estimated to be 70% immune to only 14.8% of the nation’s population or 17.8% of the adult population.
To prevent this disease from spreading widely. It is important to have immunity in the country at least 60% of the population, while the number of people who are infected with autoimmunity is likely to be low However, combined with the vaccinated group, it has not yet reached the level to stop the epidemic. Even in the following year, if attempted to double the injection, for example 26 million doses for another 13 million people, the total immunity level will be approximately 39% of the nation’s population or 46.8% of the adult population.
Analyzed To point out that When we see a future scene like this If you can decide, you should decide to “fully defeat this repeated outbreak”. The opportunity to open eyes and mouth would be difficult.
Decide Regional lockdown without being embarrassed or afraid of using the word lockdown. Any word can be used Requesting that recruiting and using But ask them to do what they should do:
Images from TZIDO SUN / Shutterstock.com.- One, stop the movement of the population in the provinces, each region, both dark red, red, orange for at least 2-4 weeks.
Second, stop all activities that risk the transmission of infection between them. Only as needed
Third, spend 2-4 weeks doing as many screening as possible (active case finding).
Fourth, let people observe the symptoms themselves and their families. If in doubt, come and check
Five announced a 100% mask policy, stay at home, stop infection for the nation, and work at home for 2-4 weeks … not just for cooperation.
Do it now, there is still a chance …
But if you keep going like a chicken, dogs and chickens will both be infected with COVID.
May we all live consciously. Protect yourself strictly.
I want Thailand to get out of this crisis …
With love to everyone
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