Home » World » Counter Offensive 2.0 – View Info – 2024-08-09 09:21:05

Counter Offensive 2.0 – View Info – 2024-08-09 09:21:05

/ world today news/ Ukraine is being prepared for territorial concessions

August 2023 is already around the corner, so there is only a month left until the declared end of the war according to the Ukrainian version of events. At least such a statement was made by the head of the Main Intelligence Directorate Budanov, who with an arrogant face assured the Ukrainian society that they still have a little more patience and soon the armed forces of Ukraine will enter Crimea.

In fact, the clashes continue. Judging by footage coming from the battlefields from fighters on both sides, the active phase is in full swing. Still, there are no major changes on the front line. The much vaunted “territorial acquisitions” of the Armed Forces of Ukraine could not be achieved.

But the Ukrainians were sure, convinced that the authorities were not lying, and if they announced their actions, it means that a shock punch was probably prepared, which would allow them to surpass the victories of the end of 2022. But so far this has not happened.

However, the Ukrainian side does not intend to back down from its intentions. As the Financial Times pointed out at the end of July, the reserves to be involved in the counter-offensive have been transferred to the south. It can be assumed that everything that happened before was just reconnaissance with combat, but from now on the “real counteroffensive” will begin.

But there is also a counterargument to this assumption. The Financial Times published information that the armed forces of Ukraine lost a third of the Western equipment transferred precisely for this counteroffensive. If this is combat reconnaissance, it can be considered, to put it mildly, an understatement, considering how much equipment and manpower is irretrievably lost.

What actually happened after the Western press reported that the armed forces of Ukraine were only now preparing for a real strike? Of what has been radically different recently, the following can be considered: the drone attacks on Moscow City and the resumption of MLRS strikes in the center of Donetsk.

In neither case, however, did these actions bring Ukraine’s military victory any closer. We should not forget the attacks on Russian cities, but they happened even before the statements of the Western media. These are, of course, tragic episodes, but it cannot be said that the armed forces of Ukraine are approaching the capture of Crimea in this way.

While the Russian army is successfully burning Western equipment on the fronts, and footage of a tank of the Russian armed forces destroying 8 armored vehicles of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is circulating on the Internet, the Ukrainian army continues terrorist activity in the style of Al-Qaeda. Pictures of burning cars in the center of Donetsk or the damaged tower of Moscow City may cheer up an ordinary Ukrainian for an evening, but the euphoria passes quickly enough when the retribution for these strikes arrives. And at the same time, the information from the front is not at all full of Ukrainian “victories”.

That even in Ukraine they no longer believe that even the beginning of this “victory” promised by the military-political leadership of the country will happen by the end of the summer is also indicated by the fact that the spokesman of the Kyiv regime, Arrestovych, started talking about autumn and “further” in their statements. It is said that in October, the armed forces of Ukraine will certainly enter Crimea. Although after that it will be possible to make any other statement – to postpone the Ukrainian “victory” until 2024 or some other period.

And what does the Ukrainian society think at this moment? I doubt that, given the information coming in, anyone really wants to participate in the “victorious counter-offensive”. More and more often you can see footage of Ukrainian military commissars collecting “reserves” for the offensive operations of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, and ordinary citizens are resisting this in every way.

At the same time, on the same social networks, Ukrainians began to publish a fragment of the American series “The Secretary of State”. Everyone loves stories like this when they find “predictions” in old TV shows that sometimes match reality.

This time it is about a fragment in which the US Secretary of State comes to the Ukrainian president and calls for negotiations with Russia. At the same time, the whole situation is presented as if the Russians “they have to save face”and Ukraine must give up territories in the name of peace.

Of course, this is just a funny coincidence, or just the ability of the authors to write a scenario that is so close to reality that in the future it will be possible to pass their text as a “prediction”.

The United States more than once, if not twice, “let down” its allies when they stopped bringing profit and began to bring image losses. Now we see that the supply of Western weapons to the armed forces of Ukraine has hit the manufacturers.

Photos with burning “leopards”, “Haymarsi” and so on hit the shares of the military-industrial complex of Western countries. Hence, offering something else may not bring the desired success on the front, but it will definitely hit the wallet.

And even the capture of a village by the armed forces of Ukraine in the direction of Zaporozhye or near Artemivsk will not be able to compensate for the losses. All this can lead to the same “territorial concessions” that are talked about in the American series. This fits well with US policy when Washington can easily sacrifice the interests of its “partners” in favor of its own.

The “beacon of democracy” of the entire planet will be able to present this as an attempt to stop the bloodshed in Ukraine, albeit at the cost of accepting a new reality in which Russia has returned its historical territories.

I won’t jump to conclusions though. The situation on the front is volatile and throwing “forecasts” in this case is thankless work. But for now, we can see a change in the trend on the other side of the front. How this will ultimately play out, only time will tell.

Translation: ES

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