“The authors of the mathematical model developed with ICM UW argue that by the end of December, about 30,000 daily cases will be detected (experts are still counting how many cases there will be if children after the fourth grade of primary school are assigned to remote learning). However, the complete closure of schools could be limit infections to a value closer to 20,000 ” – we read in “GDP”.
According to the journal, the real number of patients, including those not detected by tests, may be between 200 and 300 thousand. “This value is estimated, inter alia, by the number of deaths and hospitalizations, and is assumed to be six to 12 times greater than indicated by the detected cases.
Coronavirus. According to experts, 1.6 million Poles already had COVID-19
Mathematicians calculate that there are currently nine times more of them – which would mean that yesterday there were 90,000 in Poland. patients with COVID-19 “- writes” DGP “.” Analysts also estimate that by mid-March 2021, 54 percent. of the population has already passed the coronavirus infection. Currently 1.6 million people had it, “adds the newspaper.
“DGP” also publishes the results of the United Surveys survey commissioned together with the RMF FM radio. The study shows that as much as 75 percent. of those polled do not want the economy to freeze completely, such as in spring. 15% are of the opposite opinion, and every tenth respondent has no opinion. According to the daily, the government also conducted a survey on this subject. “The results were similar – 26 percent for the lockdown (although the name was not mentioned, there was only talk about restrictions such as in the spring), against 65 percent of respondents” – the newspaper informs.
The poll also asked what Poles fear in connection with the pandemic. “The greatest number of indications (37 per cent) is the fear that a loved one will fall ill with COVID-19. Only 24 per cent is afraid of himself. – The fear of COVID-19 is related to the number of cases. We are more afraid of parents or grandparents, because in awareness has become established that these are groups more at risk – explains Marcin Duma from United Surveys in an interview with “DGP”.
The survey also shows that we are also more concerned about the psychological effects of social isolation, such as malaise and the risk of depression (31% of responses) than, for example, of losing a job due to the economic effects of a pandemic (18%) or a reduction in salaries (15%). .).
The coronavirus is not giving up. More records in Europe
Great Britain, Italy, the Netherlands, Ukraine, Russia, the Czech Republic – incl. these countries have a daily record of coronavirus infections. In terms of the number of deaths, Great Britain ranks first in Europe and fifth in the world. Spain is the first Western European country to exceed a million infections. Meanwhile, in Germany, the minister of health obtained a positive test for the virus.
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