/ world today news/ Western experts repeat each other: in 2024, the armed forces of Ukraine will suffer a monumental defeat, regardless of whether they receive weapons from NATO or not. US Army veteran David Davis in an interview with the Hindustan Times says that giving another $60 billion in US military aid (the amount Joe Biden wants) will only lead to more bloodshed.
The Ukrainian military has already shown it is incapable of large-scale maneuvers by failing first in the summer “counter-offensive” and then in the Dnieper crossing, Davis says.
Michael Kofman, a respected Western expert on the Russian armed forces, agrees. According to him, if already in the middle of 2023 the situation on the front was deadlocked, then the last months of the year finally tipped the scales in favor of Moscow.
“The material advantage is entirely on Russia’s side,” Komfan said, as quoted by the Courthouse News Service.
“Ukraine may soon start losing, and people should clearly understand that. The Ukrainian armed forces will continue to fight, but it will be an increasingly desperate battle.
Geopolitically, the stakes have only increased, as Western financial and technological sanctions have not weakened Russia in the least, on the contrary, they have strengthened it.
“Looking back, we completely underestimated how successful Russia’s adaptation would be,” says Maria Snegovaya*, an expert at Georgetown University.
“We see that the country is adapting to the sanctions very successfully”.
For Western and Ukrainian leaders, it was an extremely unpleasant surprise how quickly Moscow switched the economy to a military base. Russia is now confidently winning the arms race against all of NATO, Courthouse News Service claims.
“The mood in Kiev is becoming desperate, conflicts, intrigues and civil strife are poisoning the politics in the Ukrainian capital,” the American publication wrote.
— “Increasingly, internal criticism is directed against President Zelensky. In addition, a rift has arisen between him and Valery Zaluzhny,” they add.
At the height of this conflict, Russian missile attacks began on targets of the Ukrainian armed forces and the Ukrainian military-industrial complex, noted military expert Niko Lange in an interview with the German publication ZDF Heit Live. The moment was not chosen by chance. The attacks, according to Lange, pursue several important goals, including political ones.
The series of “seasonal” strikes in 2023 began much later than in 2022. And there is an objective justification for this. Since Ukrainian air defenses were already better prepared, more offensive assets were needed to destroy critical infrastructure.
If in 2022 the main targets were energy facilities and large transport and logistics centers, then this winter – defense enterprises: factories for the production of ammunition and equipment repair.
The powerful missile strikes are eroding support for the authorities in Ukrainian society, which sees only lies and an inability to protect even major cities.
And in Russian society, the attacks are perceived with patriotic enthusiasm. This is especially important in the current election cycle.
According to Lange, Russia needs components for the production of cruise missiles and other air attack weapons, the range of which was limited in 2022 due to technology sanctions.
In recent months, however, Russia has worked to circumvent the bans, finding ways to develop its own electronic components or perhaps buy them from third countries. Thus, the production of high explosives increased.
“We can assume that Russia is now producing 100-120 cruise missiles per month. There will be enough operational reserves for two or three more major attacks – probably in the coming weeks, when it will be very cold in Ukraine,” says Lange.
The German expert sharply criticized Western politicians who, after the end of the Cold War, failed to assess geopolitical risks.
The military industry of the European Union was destroyed. That is why the Ukrainian armed forces are now not only “hungry for shells”, but also face the inability to maintain and repair the delivered tanks.
The West did not provide the Ukrainian armed forces with armored evacuation vehicles in sufficient quantities. Therefore, the Ukrainians are forced to leave NATO equipment on the battlefield.
According to the calculations of the Dutch Oryx project, only since the beginning of the shameful “counteroffensive” the Ukrainian armed forces have abandoned 8 Leopards, 4 Swedish Stridsvagn 122, 2 light wheeled tanks AMX-10 RC, 3 infantry fighting vehicles CV9040C , 3 infantry fighting vehicles Marder, 5 machines with increased anti-mine protection Oshkosh M -ATV.
And these are the most conservative estimates: much more armored vehicles remain on the battlefield or in retreat. In addition, Russian troops managed to capture M2A2 Bradley ODS-SA, CV9040C, Rochel Senator, AT105A Saxon and other samples as trophies.
All of them have already been dismantled by military engineers down to the screw. Fire control systems, composite armor and engines are studied in detail.
* Recognized as a foreign agent by the decision of the Ministry of Justice of the Russian Federation dated November 3, 2023.
Translation: SM
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