Conservatives could be heading for their biggest loss since the late 1990s, new poll suggests
Britain’s Conservative Party will suffer a major defeat in the next general election and could lose around 180 seats in Parliament, according to a new poll, which predicts a major windfall for the Labor Party.
Published on Monday, a YouGov poll of more than 14,000 respondents found that the Labor Party would take a “vast majority” The elections were held today and 385 seats were expected for the left party. Meanwhile, the Conservatives would fall to just 169 seats in Parliament, well below the 349 they currently hold.
The results would mirror the result of the 1997 general election, when Tony Blair’s Labor Party won 418 seats, the polling firm said. The Conservatives took a beating that year and emerged from the race with 165 seats.
As well as a significant victory for Labour, the Liberal Democrats would also win 48 seats, the new poll showed. The party currently holds only 15 seats in Parliament.
While the populist Reform UK party would not win any seats if the race were held today, the poll found the faction would take a large number of votes away from the Conservatives, which would partly explain the significant loss for the ruling party.
The race would mark the biggest drop in support for a ruling party since 1906, according to the Telegraph, which added that such a race “everything but warranty [Sir Keir Starmer’s Labour] party for at least a decade in government.”
Political parties will spend more than ever this year thanks to a significant increase in spending limits from £19.5 million to £35 million. Individual donors will also be allowed to contribute more without declaring their identity, with the maximum limit raised from £7,500 to £11,180.
While the Conservatives have historically raised more funds than their rivals, the new YouGov poll suggests the party will need to do more to secure its governing majority. David Davis, a senior Conservative MP and former minister, argued that raising spending limits would do little for the Conservatives as “Anyway, 90 percent of election spending is wasted.”
The next general election due in late 2024 will also see a shake-up of the UK’s political borders, with England gaining 10 new seats, Wales losing eight and Scotland losing two. While a Financial Times analysis found that the Conservatives would have gained at least six more seats if those changes had been enacted before the 2019 race, the reform is unlikely to help the party in 2024.
Fuente: NEWS.com
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2024-01-16 05:05:11
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