The UEFA Conference League reaches its halfway point with Chelsea and Fiorentina as favorites in the final winner bets.
For die-hard bettors, the roster of both clubs and the recent performances of the English and Italians in both national and European competitions suggest a value bet on either of these clubs. To what market? Mainly the final winner, although the odds can be used to predict the finalists of the tournament.
Currently, Chelsea is the best classified in the competition. They recently triumphed in the Champions League just four seasons ago, and have a great squad under the direction of Enzo Maresca. And at the beginning of the season, no one trusted them, with a surplus of players that conveyed little seriousness as a sporting institution.
For its part, Fiorentina, a two-time finalist in this tournament, finds itself with one of the most favorable pairings this year. The market to predict the finalists is based on the fact that Chelsea and Fiorentina will not face each other during the league phase. This increases the chance that they will both end up on opposite sides of the draw and only meet in the final.
And for these quotas we must also take into account that the new format of European competitions excludes teams that failed in the Champions League and the Europa League from the UEFA Conference League. This being so, it offers a clearer or simpler path for these historic clubs. It can be an unforgettable year for both of you!
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UEFA Conference League final winner bets
Alternative markets have not yet been opened. For example, when the direct elimination brackets begin, it would be interesting to bet on the PREDICT THE FINALISTS market. And if there is the option of Chelsea vs Fiorentina, it surely has value. Currently, bet365 offers interesting odds for the final winner for Chelsea and Fiorentina:
All odds courtesy of bet365 and correct at time of publication. Fees subject to change. +18. Play responsibly.
A calculated domain
The Conference League has consistently shown that top-rated clubs tend to go far in the competition. Last season, both Fiorentina and Aston Villa, ranked fourth and first by club value respectively, reached the semi-finals. The previous year, West Ham United and Fiorentina reached the final in Prague.
In the tournament’s inaugural season, third- and fifth-placed Roma and Feyenoord met in Tirana for the title. To date, Chelsea’s record in the tournament has been exemplary. With two convincing victories, he has already left his mark in the early stages of the competition. He has shown that he is not here to win this minor trophy.
Maresca’s leadership is decisive, backed by the great performance of players like Mykhailo Mudryk and João Félix (although in the Premier League it is something else). His style is backed by a strong team, in which Christopher Nkunku stands out, and Maresca’s rotation of players demonstrates good management and the depth of talent he has.
Despite the constant changes for UEFA Conference League matches (11 new players after each Premier League match), Chelsea’s dominance has not been affected. The formidable total valuation of the Blues squad, €954.20 million, represents more than 41% of the value of the entire competition.
Third time’s the charm
Fiorentina, comfortably seated in second place, have emulated Chelsea’s start with successive victories, using a flexible tactical approach under new coach Raffaele Palladino. Furthermore, their recent comeback against St. Gallen underlines their resistance and their adaptation strategies in adverse moments.
Fiorentina has proven itself in European competitions, having played 36 consecutive UEFA Conference League matches, with 19 wins and only 6 losses. The recent summer signings have reinforced their lineup for both Serie A and European challenges. Moise Kean is having a prolific season, with eight goals in total.
Palladino’s reliance on midfielders such as Edoardo Bove, on loan from Roma, illustrates the team’s tactical flexibility. His contribution, along with the presence of goalkeeper David De Gea, reinforces the depth of the team. In addition, Fiorentina’s defense, which has recorded four consecutive clean sheets, is the third best in Italy.
money rules
Although Fiorentina’s squad valuation, €265.70 million, is notably lower than Chelsea’s, it still ranks as the second richest club in the UEFA Conference League. Current statistics give them a 21% (15% in odds) chance of winning the trophy, compared to Chelsea’s 39% (47% in odds).
The combined odds of other top clubs – Heidenheim, Betis, Ghent and Vitória – amount to a meager 27%, reinforcing the strategic advantage of betting on Chelsea or Fiorentina. The UEFA Conference League has revealed a trend: clubs with significant financial resources tend to go far in the tournament.
The financial advantage of Chelsea and Fiorentina makes them logical options for the title clash on May 28, 2025. In other words, they are one of the best bets for the final winner of the tournament!
