A New York Times poll released Saturday found Vice President Kamala Harris with a significant lead. over former President Donald Trump in three battleground states, or swing states, including Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan However, polling data suggests the race could be even closer than in the world of reality
Account conducted by the Siena College Research Institute. The poll, which surveyed nearly 2,000 voters, found Harris’ approval ratings over Trump 50% to 46% in the three states The survey was conducted between August 5 and 9, or last week announced the inauguration of Minnesota Governor, Tim Walz. As a vice presidential candidate
Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan have been Democratic strongholds since 1992. Until 2016, Trump was leading in almost every poll. He swept the three states before President Joe Biden came back and won them in 2020, but by a narrow margin.
For both Harris and Trump, winning Pennsylvania that has 19 electoral votes, or in Michigan and Wisconsin With 25 electoral votes together, it is necessary to victory in the November election.
Although polls show Harris on track to win all three states, in terms of analysis, the Democrats’ lead in the popular vote may be just an illusion. For example, 45% of respondents in Michigan said they would vote for Biden in 2020 and only 39% voted for Trump, when Biden actually won Michigan. With a distance of less than 3 points
The same theory can be seen for Pennsylvania as well. In the 2020 election, polls showed that Biden would win the state by a margin of 5 points, but in reality he almost won by only 1.2 points, as in Wisconsin, where polls showed that Biden would win by a margin of 8 points, but in the end the results show that he won by a margin of only 0.6 points.
Although he has not announced any policy stance yet. There have been no questions from the media since she announced her candidacy, but Harris has seen her approval rating jump from 36% in February to 48%, according to the New York Times/Siena Post. Meanwhile, Trump’s approval rating is at 46%, up from 44% in February.
(Source: RT News)
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2024-08-10 23:29:00