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China’s “three-year defeat”, is the East in danger?

“If Xi Jinping needs to undergo free democratic elections, will the Chinese people still elect him for re-election?” This is a question from the German “Daily Mirror” about China’s future. “Looking at his performance, it’s unlikely. In the first year he took office, China’s economic growth rate was as high as 7.8%, and then continued to decline. The lowest point in 2020 was only 2.2%. Xi Jinping’s dynamic zero epidemic prevention strategy proved to be a disaster. disaster.”

The Western media pretended not to understand the Chinese system, pretended not to see the phenomenon of rising east and falling west, and even pretended to see that the United States and the West have outperformed China in the fight against the new crown epidemic in the past three years. At the same time, German media observed the results of China’s “two sessions”, I came to the conclusion of Yizheng: the National People’s Congress confirmed Xi Jinping’s third term as President of the country, and the new leadership team will be composed entirely of Xi Jinping’s cronies; otherwise, China will lose its competitive advantage.

President Xi Jinping. AP pictures

Westerners actually want to say, “Democracy, freedom, and market economy still have the best ability to correct mistakes.” In fact, the scientific spirit of Western countries has weakened. They keep saying that “China has comparable or even better competitiveness, such as artificial intelligence and telecommunications technology. But this does not apply to all fields. Now, European and American countries are more serious. Look at China’s challenges.” Finally, the German commentary ended with sarcasm: “Xi Jinping’s breaking the term limit actually put China at a disadvantage against the West, and European and American countries should be cheered up.” Contradictions and confrontations are the driving force of innovation and modernization, Xi Jinping However, they lack insight into this point-for the Chinese people, this is not a wonderful prospect-the article can be regarded as one-stop, the highlight is that they criticize Chinese-style modernization behind the scenes, pointing out that the formula of “modernization = Westernization” is still efficient. The danger is that the West still firmly believes in the “China collapse theory”, thinking that China is under the siege of the democratic Western camp, how can it not be justified? The representative of this speech is Joseph Nye, a professor at Harvard University in the United States. After the new crown pandemic, in 2021 he published on his website entitled “What May Trigger the US-China War?” ” article.

He proposed the Thucydides trap, implying that the “rise” of the second-ranked China will inevitably lead to the ruthless containment of the first United States. Although China’s economy is strong and its performance in the fight against the epidemic is superior, he reminds the United States not to misunderstand China’s strength. However, it ignores the long-term advantages of the United States in many fields, thus forming a fear of China. He pointed out that the United States has five major advantages:

One is geographical advantage. The United States is surrounded by friendly neighbors; China borders 14 countries, and there are many border disputes everywhere.

The second is the energy advantage. The shale oil revolution has turned the US into a net energy exporter, while China has become increasingly reliant on energy imports.

The third is financial advantage. Only a fraction of all foreign exchange reserves are denominated in renminbi, while 59% are held in dollars.

Fourth is the relative population advantage. Seven of the world’s 15 largest economies will see their workforce shrink over the next decade, but the US is expected to grow by 5%, while China’s workforce could shrink by 9%.

Five is the high-tech advantage. The United States has been leading in many cutting-edge technology fields, and China wants to catch up, but the United States and the West can work together to prevent China from obtaining the most advanced technologies, such as semiconductors.

The United States often looks at the good cards in its hands, and unconsciously misleads its observations about China. China has maintained positive growth during the new crown pandemic and has supplied various products to the world; Contribute to the fight against the epidemic, but it is described by the West as a “three-year defeat”. The terrible thing is not to confuse the public with lies, but to encourage the expansion of populism. Western political circles have already done what Foreign Minister Qin Gang said – wolves are in the way, and the people are also raising wolves. I am afraid non-world well-being. Dances with Wolves, everyone beware.

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