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Cereal price ranges are falling all over again, but bread remains costly

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News from the NOSthese days, 10:39Modified nowadays, 10:56

Immediately after the commence of the war in Ukraine, wheat swiftly grew to become far more high priced, but just lately the cost has fallen again. Now 1000 kilos of wheat price all over 320 euros, for the duration of the peak of Could wheat cost all over 120 euros extra.

Though the cost of wheat is not nonetheless at the pre-war degree, are you now noticing the price fall in the retailer when you buy bread and other grain products and solutions?

Until eventually the end of previous year, a selling price of wheat in between 150 and 200 euros for every ton was frequent. But in January and February of this calendar year the cost rose to 290 euros and, considering that the summer, wheat costs concerning 315 and 350 euros for each ton.

Costs skyrocketed right after the Russian invasion of Ukraine in late February. As a end result, it was no for a longer time achievable to ship significant shipments of wheat from Ukraine, a planet exporter of wheat.

grain arrangement

“But even before the war, the price tag of wheat had by now risen owing to Covid-19,” suggests Jan Willem Baas, chairman of the Committee of Grain Traders. In advance of the pandemic, the price tag was all-around 170 euros for each ton.

Because that time wheat offer concluded in July in between Ukraine, Russia and the United Nations, the grain is yet again exported from Ukraine. As a consequence, the price tag diminished a little.

In accordance to Thijs Geijer, a foods and agriculture economist at ING, the drop in price ranges is also similar to favorable crop expectations in North The us and Russia and the expectation that worldwide need will decrease somewhat.

NOS

The boost in the price tag of the uncooked material is handed on to the purchaser by bakers and supermarkets. But in accordance to Geijer, bread is not likely to appear back a little bit less costly: “Of program the price tag of wheat is critical to the baker, but in the meantime, energy and labor costs carry on to rise. Slipping grain price ranges do not compensate for this. “

The increased labor expenditures are joined to the scarcity of staff in the bakery marketplace, which will make providers compete with the hourly fee, but also with the minimal wage growing and with significant inflation that could direct to new wage requires in following year’s collective bargaining settlement negotiations.

Even a lot more costly

“Bread is undoubtedly not getting less costly,” claims director Wim Kannegieter of the Dutch Bakery Association, the trade association of bakeries that source (grocery store) chains.

“It will also most likely get more high-priced. Vitality fees have from time to time greater tenfold, bakeries wrestle to have adequate staff members, and even packaging has develop into far more pricey due to the high cost of oil. In addition, transportation is also extra high priced owing to oil. climbing fuel costs. “

“We have also discovered that producers and mills are entering into shorter contracts for the order of grain,” suggests Jan Willem Baas of the Committee of Grain Traders. “They are cautious and will not want to spend these high costs for as well prolonged.”

ING Geijer economist points out that bread is a commodity, which usually means that the price of normal wholemeal or white bread will increase rather fewer sharply: “We fork out consideration to the selling price of bread when we go to the supermarket. A supermarket then does not make the most high-priced bread in a hurry. ” he explains.

Uncertainty about the wheat deal

There is thus no prospect of a drop in the price tag of bread at the minute. “The previous exhibits that groceries quickly get far more high priced in these sorts of situations, but not more affordable all over again with the surprising gains,” claims Geijer.

Additionally, there is nonetheless some uncertainty about the wheat deal, according to Jan Willem Baas: “A several times ago, Russian President Putin claimed he needed to overview the deal, for the reason that he would be mistreated by the West. The market. responds better to these types of messages. fiercely. “

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