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CARDS. Covid-19: Figures showing a slowdown in the circulation of the virus in France

the essential
It is an indicator could not be more essential of the circulation of the virus in the country: Public Health France has unveiled the latest figures of the incidence rate in the French departments for the week of January 25. This indicator shows a decrease in no less than 45 French departments.

The executive has his eye on the counters. If they are so important, it is because the figures which attest to the circulation of the virus in France have prompted the government not to decide on a new containment. On the eve of a new speech by Jean Castex (Prime Minister) and Olivier Véran (Minister of Health and Solidarity), Public Health France unveiled a set of data which characterize the circulation of the virus on the French territory, which has killed no less than 77,595 people since the start of the pandemic.

  • What indicator is it?

This is the incidence rate (which characterizes the number of positive tests per 100,000 inhabitants in a week). The latest figures from Public Health France relate to the week of January 25 to 31. This indicator is particularly scrutinized by health authorities. This involves, among other things, attesting to the effects of the restrictive measures that have been imposed on the country’s health situation, such as the establishment of an advanced curfew at 6 p.m. throughout the country, or even the closure of borders for people outside the European Union since January 31.

  • The trend, what is it?

The figures unveiled by Santé Publique France show a slowdown in the circulation of the virus on French territory. In fact, between January 18 and 24, 2021, the country recorded an average of no less than 208.93 positive cases per 100,000 inhabitants. Compared to the previous week, the incidence rate had increased by around 9%. Between January 25 and 31, the overall incidence rate peaked at 206.3 new cases per 100,000 inhabitants (i.e. a drop of 1.26% in the incidence rate, as shown in the map below. If no card is visible, please deactivate your ad blocker).

The health situation remains very different according to the departments. In the first place, it is the case of the Alpes-Maritimes which questions: the department has an incidence rate of 453 cases per 100,000 inhabitants, the highest in France. Nearby, it is all the coastal departments of the PACA region (Bouches-du-Rhône and Var) which are the subject of a particularly active circulation of the virus, with an incidence rate of over 330. On instead, this figure is however subject to a slight decrease compared to the previous week.

The increase is also worrying in the Dordogne where the circulation of the virus is starting again with a vengeance, with an incidence rate which has increased by more than 48% (it peaked on January 31 at 275 cases per 100,000 inhabitants).

  • A weakening circulation?

The situation is improving, however, in a large number of departments. Between the week of January 18 and that of January 25, the incidence rate drops in no less than 45 French departments (against 21 the previous week). It is in the Meuse that the health situation improves the most: the incidence rate has decreased by 30.62% from one week to another. There is also an improvement trend in Haute-Loire, with a drop in the incidence rate of 26.26%.

There is much to be rejoicing about and worrying about in the region. The good news is the improvement in the health situation in the Hautes-Pyrénées: the incidence rate has fallen by 27.15%. This is the biggest drop in the region. Six departments of Occitanie (out of 13) show a drop in their incidence rate between the week of January 18 and that of January 25: the Hautes-Pyrénées therefore, Lozère (-23.55%), Aveyron ( -11.83%), Ariège (-3.87%), Pyrénées-Orientales (-2.41%) and Hérault (-0.58%). Lot-et-Garonne also saw its incidence rate decreased over this period (-19.35%): it is also in this department that the indicator is the lowest (129.6 cases per 100 000 inhabitants).

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The concern, she turns to the department of Tarn which displays a still particularly high incidence rate (310.4 cases per 100,000 inhabitants in the week of January 25). It climbed 5.97% in one week. The concern finally, it is also in Haute-Garonne, where positive tests were particularly numerous during the week of January 25 (267.7 new cases per 100,000 inhabitants, an increase of 26.33% compared to the week of January 18).

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