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Campania and Tuscany could move to the orange zone. Emilia-Romagna and Puglia towards the yellow one


Waiting for the new ordinance of the Ministry of Health regarding the restrictive measures aimed at combating the pandemic.

According to the Monitoring of the Control Room, Valle d’Aosta, Campania, Tuscany, South Tyrol (as already Basilicata, Calabria, Lombardy and Piedmont) could pass from red to orange zone. While they could go from orange to yellow area: Emilia Romagna, Friuli-Venezia Giulia, Marche, Puglia and Umbria (as already Lazio, Liguria, Molise, Trento, Sardinia, Sicily and Veneto). The only one to remain red should be Abruzzo, which entered this area last.

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The evaluation of the Technical-Scientific Committee and the Ministry of Health is awaited.

The falling RT value

Meanwhile, in the period 11-24 November 2020, the average rt calculated on symptomatic cases was equal to 0.91 (range 0.79-1.08). Point rt values ​​lower than 1 are found in 16 regions / ppaa. of these, 15 have a point rt of less than one even in its higher confidence interval, indicating a significant decrease in transmissibility.

These are the Rt of the various local realities: Abruzzo 0.85, Basilicata 0.76, Calabria 1.06, Emilia-Romagna 0.99, Friuli 0.92, Lazio 1.04, Liguria 0.68, Lombardy 0.93 , Marche 0.74, Molise 1.38, Piedmont 0.72, Province of Bolzano 0.8, Province of Trento 0.83, Puglia 0.89, Sardinia 0.61, Sicily 0.79, Tuscany 1.01, Umbria 0.79, Veneto 1.13.

“The incidence is still too high to allow for sustainable management, so it is necessary
achieve transmissibility levels significantly lower than 1 throughout the national territory allowing a further decrease in the number of new cases of infection and, consequently, a reduction in pressure on local and hospital health services “, the report reads.

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