Richard Moore, the head of the British intelligence service MI6, believes that Russia’s military is likely to take an operational pause in Ukraine sometime in the coming weeks. The news agency writes Reuters.
– I think they are losing steam, says Moore during a security conference in the US state of Colorado with the Aspen Strategy group.
The British intelligence chief believes that the Russian military will find it increasingly difficult to provide manpower and material in the coming weeks.
– They will have to take a break in one way or another, and that will give Ukraine opportunities to fight back, says Moore.
He also emphasizes Ukraine’s need to show that it is capable of winning the war.
After almost five months have passed since Ukraine was invaded by Russia, Ukraine hopes that Western weapons, especially long-range missiles, will allow Ukraine to launch a counterattack in the coming weeks and recapture Russian-occupied territory.
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– Poor children
Moore estimates that around 15,000 Russian soldiers have lost their lives in the war in Ukraine so far.
He goes on to say that the war in Ukraine can be felt in the poor districts of Russia, and that no soldiers have yet been recruited from middle-class areas of St. Petersburg or Moscow.
– There are poor children from the districts of Russia. They are from working-class towns in Siberia. They are disproportionately from ethnic minorities. And they are Putin’s cannon fodder, he says.
In his daily speech on Thursday, he says that the Ukrainian military has the potential to win some victories on the battlefield, which could lead to heavy losses for Russia. He says that after Zelenskyj had a meeting with several Ukrainian officers.
– I think it is important for Ukrainians themselves to be able to demonstrate their ability to fight back. I think it’s going to be very important to keep morale high, says Moore.
The intelligence chief emphasizes that it is particularly important because they have a hard winter ahead.
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– Tough time ahead
He further points out that the situation will also become more demanding for several other European countries as a result of reduced gas supplies.
– It is clear that the pressure on gas supplies will mean that we have a tough time ahead, says Moore.
The prospect of Russia cutting or minimizing energy supplies to Europe is one of the biggest global and political risks resulting from the war.
Several European countries fear that there could be a shortage of gas for the winter, if Russia reduces deliveries in the summer months when they usually fill up storage tanks.