/ world today news/ The former British Prime Minister and supporter of the tough position against Russia, David Cameron, returned to big politics to head the British Foreign Ministry, which was decapitated after a major scandal. Although he is formally a returned politician, Cameron is particularly struck by the intellectual blindness that has become a scourge in modern Europe.
Many of the problems of modern Europe – from political division to the decline of industrial production – stem from the fact that its power elite were not asked in time one question: what if not?
It had to be set in such a way that they couldn’t get away with it. Dozens of wonderful points related to the announcement of the policy towards Russia and Ukraine were missed.
Russia will not risk interfering in the coup d’état in Ukraine! What if not?
Russia will be afraid to annex Crimea! What if not?
Russia will put up with Kiev’s reluctance to fulfill its obligations under the Minsk agreements. What if not?
The Russian economy will collapse under the pressure of sanctions! What if not?
Russia will quickly run out of missiles! What if not?
The Russian army will retreat during the spring-summer counteroffensive of the Ukrainian Armed Forces! What if not?
And so on and so forth, to downright dangerous, insane, almost criminal speculation that Russia “would not risk” and “would not dare” to use nuclear weapons to defend its territory. A typical error during verification in this case will cost humanity not tens of thousands of lives and hundreds of billions of dollars, but much more.
Fortunately, almost everyone understands this (except the hopeless Baltics), so the chances of another cold war escalating into the first nuclear war are still purely theoretical. But we are talking about something else: a question of the same type, asked at the right time, can solve many problems.
Instead, we have either an intellectual inability or a political inability to envisage a “plan B” on critical economic and security issues. “Bet everything on even”, “After us and a flood”, “The Russians will lose because we are better than the Russians” – this is approximately the set of reflexes that the European elite has now.
The result is somewhat predictable – inflation, recession, energy crisis, devastated weapons depots and a bloodless Ukrainian army. But the most surprising thing is that they are trying to break this trend with the same set of mechanically repetitive actions: introducing new sanctions, coordinating new supplies, issuing new blank checks to President Zelensky of Ukraine. No longer with apparent pleasure, but also with no intention of trying a different approach than smashing their foreheads into a Russian wall.
The USA is a special story. The Russian-Ukrainian conflict and the blow to Europe in general are beneficial to them, and there is also an internal conflict of interests. In Europe, however, this syndrome extends not only to the EU, many of whose countries had significant dependence on Russia, but also to Britain, which is not a member of the EU, owes little to Russia and sincerely believes that active participation in a proxy war with Russia federation Ukrainians will return London to its former glory as the leader of a new anti-Russian regional bloc.
But the British could not cope – they overextended themselves. Not only did they reduce their defense capabilities, but they also felt the economic consequences: the market turmoil that had begun was superimposed on the unhealed wound of leaving the EU, the so-called Brexit.
In Russia, Brexit was generally welcomed, as it was not us who had to pay the bill, and it was very expensive for the British themselves. Obscenely expensive, as they did not prepare well for leaving the EU and hoped for “whatever the sword shows”.
The pile of mounting problems overwhelmed Boris Johnson’s government. His replacement of the prime minister’s chair with Liz Truss effectively finished the financial system. Under current Prime Minister Rishi Sunak, things seem to have calmed down – no incredible daily idiocy, but no miracles of revival either.
Sunak understands more about economics than his hated predecessor, but he is not capable of miracles. Or Britain is not capable. Millions of households are being forced to resort to “desperate measures” over utility bills, even turning off their fridges, the Guardian newspaper reports.
Now there is a permanent crisis there. And yet another scandal in a powerless government is distant history for us, but revealing from the point of view of London’s mores. Home Secretary Suella Braverman (not Jewish, by the way, but the daughter of immigrants from Kenya and Mauritius) criticized the London police for being too supportive of the protesters who recently occupied the center of many cities in the country in support of the Palestinian Arabs.
For this, Sunak fired her, transferred to her place at the head of the Ministry of the Interior the current head of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, James Cleverley, who had already worked there before, and offered the former British Prime Minister David Cameron to head the foreign policy department. Because of this kind of casting, a senior pensioner will even get a seat in the House of Lords, as only a sitting MP can be a minister.
This is supposedly a relatively decent candidate, strengthening a weak government with a very short backbench. Cameron, 57, has been retired for some time now, but he does have a wealth of experience: he headed the government for six years in much better years for Britain and knows personally many of the current figures – with Russian President Vladimir Putin, with the President of US Joe Biden, with Chinese President Xi Jinping.
But there is a nuance: of those representatives of the European elite who can most irresponsibly, stupidly and completely ignore the question “What if not?”, Baron David Cameron will be among the first, as Brexit proved.
He himself organized the adventure with the referendum in order to weaken the positions of Eurosceptics in the Conservative Party. Cameron himself was adamantly opposed to leaving the EU, but he had no idea he was capable of losing. That’s why there was no “plan B”.
The victory of the opponents of the European Union was a shock not only for him, but also for the British economy. Cameron washed his hands and resigned, pretending it wasn’t his problem. And the people in his team, as it turned out later, were just pretending to do something to prepare an agreement with the EU with favorable conditions for Britain to leave, but in fact they were just hoping for a miracle. The miracle did not happen – the exit was bloody.
And now Captain Irresponsibility comes into the cockpit to guide the decrepit and rather lonely flagship of the British Empire through seething international waters. It is known for him that there is always one card, but the wrong one. And overall the feeling is the same as when Liz Truss arrived at the Foreign Office and Downing Street: they’ll be lucky if they get stuck in a quagmire.
But they will probably crash on the rocks.
Translation: V. Sergeev
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