Does “Gazprom” have a trump card up its sleeve against Bulgaria?
Boyko Borisov’s offer to “We continue the change” for “100 percent diversification from Gazprom” is clearly a clever tactical trap that will click in the elections. It was no accident that PP pulled away as if scalded and again threatened him with a cell.
The offer to Slavi Trifonov after the April elections last year was a similar move – let’s accept this majority vote in 2 rounds, if that’s what you’re fighting for. It’s like throwing a steak to the dog. And if he refuses to eat it, then he is not a dog, but a sheep.
The gas trap is similar, but there is a significant difference, and she will probably play a bad joke on Borisov. She is that
the people want the majority vot, but not willing
expensive gas
Moreover, the people are mostly Russophiles, and Russophobes have more parties than voters. And in the fall, the people will vote, maybe.
I say “may” because with these machines it is not clear. This would not be a problem if our people had reached this stage in their development that
to set euro-the Atlantic values over
the material ones your interests
and over the delusions of Orthodoxy. Alas, according to experts, he has not yet grown up. Part of the electorate voted for GERB because they remember that he gave a cute dog to Putin. Another – because many years ago he was at the opening of the monument to Zhivkov in Pravets and as mayor released “We are on every kilometer” in the square.
Now it may turn out that with his good-natured offer for joint management with PP Borisov finally shakes off the nostalgic visions. In recent days, he joined all of Kiro’s Russophobic moves – and the expulsion of diplomats, and the removal of the veto for Macedonia, and the refusal of Gazprom, and so on. And the strange thing is that PP falls from power, ITN shrinks under the barrier, DB barely moves, but GERB does not increase the results at all according to the available sociology. On the contrary, it even shrinks slightly.
The very phrase “100 percent diversification by Gazprom” shows that the author is something of a jerk. “Diversification” means diversification. And “Gazprom” is not diversifying, it is shutting down completely. His counter is being pulled. When politicians change the meaning of words like that, they are lying.
It is one of the signs about the decline
of the parties
It is true that GERD survived on the summit for many years, but that does not mean that it is not subject to erosion. In 2009, he took a total of 117 mandates with 40 percent of the vote. The then “Blue Coalition” received only 15 mandates with only 6.76 percent. But GERB formed a minority government, which was de facto a coalition with the “Blue Coalition” and the so-called “Capital” circle.
And it became like pouring a basin into a pitcher. People expected one thing, got another. Therefore, in the 2013 elections, GERB took only 20 percent of the vote. Even then, some voters were left with the feeling that this is not the same party they voted for in 2009.
Of course, many other factors come into play in elections – how you’ve governed, do you have a Harvard degree, who is Mata Hari, and so on and so forth. But still there are some framing, subconscious givens. Dark blue urban ideas command about 10 percent of the vote. If GERD continues to pretend to be one, it risks falling into the dark blue grandfather glove, where it is already overpopulated.
A radical change also occurred in the international orientation of GERB. This party arose with the help of German conservative foundations and faithfully followed the instructions of Merkel, who visited with Putin and built Nord Stream 2. Today, Nord Stream 2 is shut down and Germany is almost at war with Moscow, although it continues to pump gas as much as it can. Berlin’s new instructions to GERB are clear – don’t listen to us, listen to Washington.
The German variety of Euro-Atlanticism is frozen for now.
Everything will be decided on the battlefield in Ukraine. If Euro-Atlanticism wins, there will be cheap gas.
If it drags on, you’ll know
Here I will not go into the topic of which gas is cheaper and safer – there are experts who lie 100 times more competently than I do. Lately they have been juggling at least 10 different prices for the same sources of supply on TV. A favorite trick of debating pundits is to compare their net prices to their opponent’s gross prices so that they are always right.
On top of that, all the contracts that Bulgaria has signed and is about to sign are strictly classified and there is no way to check who is lying anymore. They also classified the gas meetings in the parliament. What are they hiding so much?
Whatever they’re hiding could pop up between now and October. One example – a
whether “Gazprom” will not force us to pay
the amounts of gas we turned down?
It won’t be our first time – after all, we have already paid for a total of about 3 unused nuclear reactors.
According to the PP, with its demand to be paid in rubles, Gazprom has unilaterally broken the contract. I often follow the discussions on Russian television and I have already noticed twice that, according to one of their experts, payment in rubles was included in the contract with Bulgaria. What if this turns out to be true? If it explodes before the election?
If it’s true and if it explodes, PP will pay the price. But together with it, GERB will pay it. Not only because her minister concluded the contract, but because Boyko Borisov has just proposed to the PP to continue hand in hand even after the elections.
OK, but if PP and GERB will walk together, and BSP and DB are tied in a towel, who will be the opposition? Who should the people who will freeze in winter vote for?
Only one thing will warm them – new elections in February. The cold house makes well-heated polling stations particularly attractive.
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