From bitcoin (BTC) market seems to be calming down after the massive crash of last week and the days before. Market sentiment is turning slightly less bearish, but fears still remain extremely high. Analysts are again very divided as to whether bitcoin has bottomed or will fall even deeper. How the price closes this week may be crucial.
Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index is 10 – Extreme Fear
Current price: $29,287 pic.twitter.com/KcdzHqbfb2— Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index (@BitcoinFear) May 14, 2022
Bitcoin price fell 16.5% this week
From bitcoin price tapped $40,000 on May 5, but then began to plummet. A week ago, bitcoin already plunged below $35,000, dropping to a low of $26,600 on Thursday. Then bitcoin started to recover slightly.
Bitcoin briefly broke through $30,000 on Friday, but was then rejected around $31,000 and dropped to a low of $28,650 on Saturday. Bitcoin made a small bouncebut the price did not go beyond $30,300 last night.
Bitcoin dropped to $29,500 this morning and was then able to recover slightly, but was just rejected at $30,000 and plummets to $29,700 at the time of writing KuCoin and €28,500 on Battle† That is 1% above the price 24 hours ago, but still 16.5% below the price a week ago.
Important Weekly Close for Bitcoin
#Bitcoin faces stiff resistance!
Transaction history shows that nearly 660,000 addresses hold over 530,000 $BTC between $29,500 and $30,340. #BTC needs to breach this supply wall to be able to rebound to $35,000.
Notice there isn’t significant support at $27,000. pic.twitter.com/0V4BtvtWnJ
— Ali Martinez (@ali_charts) May 14, 2022
What price bitcoin closes this week may be crucial for the direction of the price in the coming time. If bitcoin holds up here, it could potentially retest $32,000 and then $34,000-$35,000. We would prefer to see bitcoin close above $30,000 this week.
However, should bitcoin fall, it is very important for $27,000-$28,000 to hold, otherwise there is a good chance that bitcoin will fall a lot deeper, possibly to $24,000. Some bears speak even already towards $20,000, under 200 days moving average.
Price direction in the near term will probably still largely depend on macroeconomic developments due to the high correlation. If traditional stock markets open in the red on Monday, there is a good chance that bitcoin will be pulled along again. The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is in exactly one month and a further hike in interest rates could add more selling pressure.
Positive on-chain data for bitcoin
However, there are also positive signs for bitcoin. The day before yesterday, a significant inflow of BTC to exchanges took place, but analyst IT Tech noticed that a net outflow of 29,800 BTC took place yesterday. That’s a sign that some investors are already buying the dip.
#Bitcoin Someone probably bought the dip on spot Exchanges. 🚨👀
Netflow (inflow-outflow) -29812 $BTC pic.twitter.com/7enl4zofNz— IT Tech (@IT_Tech_PL) May 14, 2022
Meanwhile, most older investors still seem to be holding onto their BTC tightly. That was different during the crash of March 2020, which was accompanied by the outbreak of the corona pandemic.
Unlike the March 8, 2020 crash, investors continue to hold #Bitcoin despite the losses.
Read more here 👉https://t.co/0u3wJACRFW pic.twitter.com/rVZI8v9nMC
— 𝗡𝗲𝗴𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗿𝗼𝗽𝗶𝗰 (@Ninetropic_) May 14, 2022
In the meantime, even 65.1% of the BTC supply has been held for more than a year and that solid foundation will be a bullish effect in the long term.
Experienced #Bitcoin investors are not panicking.
65.1% of #BTC are held by experienced, 1+ year holders. pic.twitter.com/9GljNXhwpz
— Plan©️ (@TheRealPlanC) May 14, 2022
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