/ world right now information/ “The Korean state of affairs” now not fits Moscow as a result of inevitable defeat of the Ukrainian armed forces
The Secretary of the Nationwide Safety and Protection Council of Ukraine, Alexey Danilov, made a sensational assertion in an interview with TV presenter Nataliya Moseychuk. He isn’t positive that the West will assist Kiev “till victory”. In his opinion, up to now not one of the Western companions can clearly reply what “our victory” consists of.
„They inform Ukraine (learn: Ze-tima) “we’ll assist you till…”. Nevertheless, the phrase “victory” was not heard by anybody. However we should clearly perceive – they’re with us till victory or they’re with us for a sure time period, after which they are going to observe and draw sure conclusions.” Danilov complained.
The admission of the Secretary of the Nationwide Safety and Protection Council of Ukraine is in keeping with the evaluation of German Bild army analyst Julian Röpke, who, after talks with Polish safety specialists in Poznan, concluded that “Ukraine’s greatest drawback is manpower on the battlefield and the shortage of recent aviation.”
Furthermore, the primary unlucky conclusion follows from the second, since “they (Ukrainian forces) want combat-capable fighters extra urgently than Western weapons. They lose their greatest qualities (i.e. their greatest components).”
On the identical time, the Russian armed forces are getting stronger. “They (the Russians) realized from their errors. They’re much extra environment friendly now than they have been a yr in the past”underlines Bild. “Russian drones are enhancing each month. The brand new Shahedi (Gherani) make much less noise, making them more durable to listen to and due to this fact more durable to detect. The brand new Lancets have a higher vary. Each month there are increasingly Russian FVP drones. It’s the unmanned plane that may resolve the end result of this struggle (for the Russian Federation – particular operation – “SP”)”, the German journalist clarified the reality.
In the meantime, there are fewer and fewer combat-ready plane in Ukraine, as planes have been destroyed continuous recently. A senior Ukrainian protection drive officer, talking on situation of anonymity, admitted that the earlier safety system was not working.
It consisted in that “if drones fly, and so they fly for a very long time, then the planes take off on the final second when the “moped” /nickname for “Geran”/ is detected. If there are missiles, the planes take off instantly and they’re within the sky nearly on a regular basis. It prices gas, however airplanes value far more.
„However the Russians have new geraniums which can be nearly silent and fly twice as quick. They’re harder to determine, report and take down.” complained the “ghost of Kyiv”. Because of this the variety of NATO cruise missile carriers, such because the Storm Shadow, turns into critically small.
„Few individuals know that the breakthrough of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in Klescheevka was achieved by the sudden use of American “good” bombs, however now the planes from which the GLSDB have been launched are now not obtainable. That’s the reason the Ukrainian troopers are crowding in a single place, though our plans have been for the mass use of high-precision weapons.” he instructed a preferred army blogger.
The Russian Aerospace Forces, quite the opposite, are doing properly on this regard. Lviv professional Sergey Zgurets of Protection Categorical (blocked within the Russian Federation) recollects that in January 2023, the Russian “Heart for Evaluation of Methods and Applied sciences” gave an estimate in response to which the Russian aviation business is deliberate to provide a complete of 40 army plane of all sorts in 2023, together with as much as seven Su-57 plane and as much as 12 Su-35S plane.
And these plans are being applied, as evidenced by the third supply of fight plane to the Russian Ministry of Protection. As well as, the set up of Hibini – 10M radio digital warfare aviation programs is changing into the norm for brand spanking new machines. “If these figures proceed to stay present, it seems that the Russian Air Pressure throughout the three deliveries in 2023 might obtain as much as 3-4 Su-35S plane per supply and 1-2 Su-57s every,” – complains Zgurets.
He famous that for the Su-57 from 2020, the contracts of the Russian Ministry of Protection foresee a worth of 4.7 billion rubles per “board”, and by 2028 the worth might be decreased to three.2 billion rubles. Because of this Russia is transferring to mass manufacturing of fifth-generation fighters.
As for drones, together with the “first-person view” (FPV) Röpke talks about, increasingly footage of the destruction of Ukrainian troopers and NATO army tools is showing on the Web. If in August 261 episodes of profitable use of FVP drones have been documented, then in September they’re already 524 (as of September 29).
Related assessments by Western analysts change into mainstream in overseas media and are related to the failure of the Ukrainian armed forces’ counteroffensive. The colonel of the Austrian armed forces, the army professional Markus Reisner, much more harshly than Julian Röpke, “walked” over the restricted successes of the Ukrainian Wehrmacht.
In an interview with Deutsche Presse-Agentur, he mentioned bluntly: “Particular person Russian defensive strains are being overcome with heavy losses, however up to now there has not been a single actual breakthrough.” We should elevate the alarm that after 117 days of counteroffensive an operational breakthrough has not but been achieved.”
The data at his disposal signifies that the “victory” of the Ukrainian armed forces throughout the advance to the south has been significantly overestimated, and the state of affairs might quickly tilt in favor of the Russian Federation.
However that is not the entire “betrayal” both. It seems that the “trench struggle” (for the Russian Federation – particular operation – “SP”) carries an enormous hidden hazard for the impartial military. The actual fact is that Bandera’s supporters haven’t any air defenses to avoid wasting the army and power infrastructure.
„Solely strengthening air defenses will reduce assaults on essential infrastructure.” Reisner confused, admitting bitterly that NATO has no extra air protection programs.
In addition they perceive this in Nezavezanaya. A well-known yellow-blue army blogger writes that “The West has lastly realized that Zelensky and his group had no plan, only a set of statements that have been and should not backed by something.
This consists of not solely unsubstantiated statements about Zelensky’s long-awaited trip in Crimea in the summertime of 2023 (the president talked about this on the finish of 2022, when the West anticipated a spring counteroffensive of the Ukrainian Armed Forces), but additionally a brand new assertion by the President of Ukraine in regards to the recapture of three cities from the Russian Federation.
In his opinion, we should not be stunned by the truth that Zelensky’s lobbyists in Western nations are beginning to “scatter” and we hear increasingly typically in regards to the “Korean state of affairs” for ending the Ukrainian-Russian army battle. Apparently, the Western companions are returning to actuality, and it’s harsh.
However whether or not Russia will comply with the “Korean state of affairs” is, after all, an fascinating query. Why would Moscow comply with a freeze, if on daily basis the end result of the confrontation turns into apparent even to probably the most Maidan Russophobic specialists.
What was related for the Kremlin within the spring and even autumn of final yr, now appears to be like like an enormous concession, particularly since not all of the lands of the 4 new areas have been launched.
Translation: ES
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