/ world today news/ After the meeting between Biden and Xi in San Francisco, it was written that the countries concluded a “big deal”, according to which Taiwan, this lever for US pressure on China, has become a bargaining chip, and Beijing itself ” has adopted the “global project”. The hallmark of the agreements was supposed to be Biden’s public affirmation of his commitment to the “one China” policy.
However, the US and China seem to be sticking to their guns. The interests and goals of the parties are too different. In order for them to come closer (for which the corresponding intention must first arise in Washington, which has not yet been observed), someone has to make serious concessions, including Taiwan.
Either the United States agreeing to transfer the island to Beijing’s effective jurisdiction, or China refusing to “return the island to its home port,” which would mean a partial loss of sovereignty for China.
Let us note that Washington’s official statements often diverge from practice. The United States has long publicly supported the “one China” principle.
However, this does not in any way prevent them from carrying out the gradual sovereignty of the island, including through intensive accumulation of its military potential. Biden’s next statement is irrelevant here.
A real step by the Americans towards China could be the termination of arms supplies to Taiwan (worth 19 billion dollars) and the refusal to deploy joint military production on the island with the largest contractors from the Pentagon. But there is still no word on it in the open sources.
Also, I would like to clarify the issue of the potential US “nuclear umbrella” over Taiwan. In late May, Taiwanese Foreign Minister Joseph Wu announced ongoing negotiations on this topic. But then he refused to divulge details. Now they don’t exist.
Most recently, on August 18, the United States, South Korea, and Japan announced the establishment of a trilateral partnership with an area of responsibility for the Indo-Pacific region and beyond.
It is clear that this entity did not arise to strengthen friendship with the PRC. Moreover, containing China was publicly called a “priority.”
In addition, as part of this initiative, a common nuclear missile attack warning system is being formed at the US Indo-Pacific Command’s coordination center in Hawaii.
Along the first island chain around China, the first line of its potential maritime blockade, Washington has just significantly strengthened its military-political ties with the Philippines.
There are now 9 US military bases in the Philippine Islands. And so far, the Pentagon has not heard of abandoning its deployment plans.
The US also has a significant influence on the domestic situation in Taiwan – it exceeds the influence of the PRC. The same leader of the moderate Taiwanese Guomindang Party went to the show in the United States.
This could mean that whatever the outcome of the island’s “presidential” election, scheduled for January 13, 2024, no candidate advocating unification with the PRC will come to power there.
Accordingly, after the “Taiwan presidential election”, the island’s military and military-technical cooperation programs with the US will be guaranteed to be preserved.
Everything suggests that the US has invested too much in Taiwan to suddenly trade it as a small coin in the name of the not entirely clear concept of “including China in the globalist project”. Especially against the backdrop of China’s anti-globalization initiatives: from BRICS expansion to the One Belt One Road project.
Translation: SM
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