/ world today news/ The dramatic events in connection with Prigozhin’s rebellion overshadowed the events in world politics. Meanwhile, the Americans are trying to pit New Delhi against Moscow. Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s visit to the US has been called “historic”. What does Russia have to worry about and what does China have to do with it? The hidden meanings of world politics in the material of Constantinople.
Modi went to USA at the right time and achieved a lot. At the same time, the Prime Minister of India did not give the slightest reason to say that New Delhi is turning its back on Russia and abandoning the traditional Indian policy of “strategic autonomy”. It was done with ease and very skillfully and the Americans “ate it up”. For three reasons.
Firstthey see India as a counterweight to China, their main enemy, which is also on bad terms with India.
Secondthe impending battle with Beijing for global supremacy, which begins in Taiwan, has led to Washington’s desire to begin large-scale economic and military cooperation with New Delhi.
ThirdIndia has a huge market, is already one of the five largest economies in the world and has overtaken China in terms of population.
With the world economy divided into macrozones, having a partner like India means living better. For New Delhi, this is also important: feeding and providing jobs for a rapidly growing and already 1.5 billion population is a serious matter, and the 336 million USA, which has a highly developed economy and science, is always an enviable market.
Therefore, without getting distracted by the entourage of Modi’s visit as a yoga master class worthy of the number and nationality of the participants in the Guinness Book of Records, let’s immediately turn to the economic results of the visit.
What exactly has Modi achieved?
General Electric has announced the creation of a joint venture with India’s state-owned aircraft manufacturing corporation Hindustan Aeronautics Limited.
It will manufacture turbojet engines for Indian Air Force fighter jets. New Delhi has been asking the US for this for many years. And now Washington has agreed to share what remains out of reach even for many of its closest allies.
New Delhi is acquiring a batch of MQ-9B SeaGuardian strike drones from the United States. They will also be assembled in India, which means there will be at least a partial transfer of technology.
The parties agreed to establish a center in India for the repair of US Navy ships. Relevant agreements have been concluded with Larsen & Toubro Shipyards in Kottapuli. Negotiations are currently underway with Mazagon Dock Limited (Mumbai) and Goa Shipyard (Goa).
Micron will invest between $3 billion and $10 billion in its facilities in India.
The US H-1B work visa program for Indian nationals will be expanded, especially in the IT sector.
Agreements have been signed with the US on space cooperation. India has joined the Artemis agreements in the field of civil space exploration, which were initiated by the US.
NASA and the Indian Space Research Organization (ISRO) have agreed on a joint mission to the ISS. It is assumed that an Indian “gaganaut”, that is, an astronaut, will go with the Americans to the station as early as next year.
Washington and New Delhi settled six World Trade Organization (WTO) disputes. The White House called it “a step toward deepening bilateral cooperation, strengthening our economic relationship, including trade ties.” Both sides have been going at it for two years.
What else is planned?
Modi held meetings in Washington with the heads of American companies Boeing, Google and Amazon. The prime minister discussed with them, according to the Indian foreign ministry’s website, ways to develop cooperation, in particular “expanding Boeing’s presence in India’s aviation sector, including in the areas of aircraft maintenance, repair and overhaul.”
The head of the Indian government urged his colleagues to invest in India.
In a meeting with the CEO of Alphabet and Google, which is part of the holding company, Indian-origin businessman Sundar Pichai, Modi proposed “exploring additional areas of cooperation in artificial intelligence, financial technology, products and services, cyber security, as well as mobile device manufacturing in India”.
There was also a discussion on “collaboration between Google and India’s academic institutions to promote R&D and skill development”.
Is this serious?
All this, of course, is just the beginning of a long journey. There is still no free trade agreement, and there is no talk of it now – it is a matter of the future, and in general a very complex matter, the resolution of which usually takes years or even decades.
But nevertheless, significant progress is evident, although many agreements with Washington are still only declarations of intent.
It remains to be seen to what extent the US is willing to share its technology with the Indians. But mutual interest in developing and strengthening bilateral relations is also evident.
But something else is clear: the reasons why it is disadvantageous for New Delhi to worsen its ties with Moscow have not disappeared, despite the new agreements with Washington.
Modi did not insult Russia
That is why the Indian Prime Minister was as correct as possible regarding Russia in America. He has not made statements about the refusal of military-technical or economic cooperation with us or about its reduction.
They really wanted to get him to condemn Moscow’s actions in Ukraine, to join Western sanctions. Modi, however, said nothing of the sort, only vaguely calling for peace, which Russia also wants but the West still doesn’t.
The fact is that India continues to be largely dependent on Russia (military-technical cooperation, energy resources, nuclear power, etc.).
In addition, New Delhi appreciates the fact that Moscow, which has never misled its country in the past, does not impose any conditions on India’s cooperation and thus is able to exert moderate influence on China.
Performed in the “den”
And not only. Speaking to members of the US Senate and House of Representatives, Modi – in this den of warmongers, color revolutionaries and the citadel of American exceptionalism – delivered a beautiful speech calling for the formation of a new world order and multilateralism in international relations:
“We must recommit to multilateral action and reform multilateral institutions with more resources, more representation and expansion of all our global governance institutions, especially the United Nations.”
Modi stressed that the new world order must be based on “international law”, not rules. The Indian prime minister said he saw India as a “partner” and not led by the US, which he called “one of our most important defense partners”.
But, let us note, it is by no means the main thing, and he suggested that the future of India-US relations “will determine the fate not only of our two countries, but also of the world.”
Only the last statement can be partially disputed – the world of the future will also be strongly influenced by China and Russia, but in general everything is true.
Incidentally, Beijing has already warned India not to be overzealous in military cooperation with the United States, which Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Mao Ning said “should not undermine regional peace and stability” and “should not be directed against other countries, let alone to prejudice their interests.”
Thus, China responded to the approval by Washington and New Delhi of a “road map” for cooperation in the defense industry. According to the White House, in particular, it “enables the joint production of advanced weapons systems, as well as joint research, testing and prototyping of technologies that will define the future of military power.”
All this, of course, is a long process and will only increase China’s interest in Russia, including because of India’s views on the vast spaces of the Indo-Pacific region, where Beijing also has great interests.
What follows from this?
China’s concern is understandable. However, New Delhi’s aggressive intentions towards Beijing are ruled out. Economically, China is about three times the size of India, and its military is also superior.
India is weaker than China, it has many internal problems. And if something happens, it will also have to deal with its sworn enemy and Chinese ally – Pakistan.
Therefore, by strengthening ties with the United States in the military sphere, New Delhi simply wants to reduce this imbalance, in the conditions when Russia, the main supplier of weapons, is stuck in Ukraine for a long time, and Moscow itself will need the most the new weapons.
Modi is aware that a war with China will deal a terrible blow to India and his task is to develop the country, solve its problems, make it stronger. Peace and a friendly Russia are absolutely necessary for this.
It is most profitable for New Delhi to go its own way, becoming one of the poles of the multipolar world as the leader of the Non-Aligned Movement, which is quite suitable for Moscow and even for Beijing. The funny thing is that the US, striving for hegemony in the world, will of course try to involve India in dangerous anti-Chinese combinations, it can also help the Indians in this, even without wanting to.
Translation: SM
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