Biden becomes president of the United States. Many countries are relieved by Trump’s resignation, especially the European allies of the United States. However, the problems of the United States do not seem to follow Trump. The survey found that although people in many European countries are happy to see Biden take office, they generally believe that the US system has been corrupted and that China’s national power will surpass the US within 10 years. Europe should maintain neutrality between China and the US and should no longer rely on US protection.
The European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR), a pan-European think tank, issued a report this week, saying that a survey of more than 15,000 people in 11 European countries found that overall 53% believe that Biden’s appointment is beneficial to them. 57 % Think it is beneficial to the EU. Even in Hungary and Poland, two European countries where the people are relatively supportive of Trump, more than half of them think it is better for Trump to step down.
Europeans no longer believe in American voters and the political system
Although Europeans are satisfied with the results of this US election, they do not trust that American voters will continue to choose wisely in the future. 32% of European respondents believe that Americans are no longer trustworthy after they elected Trump in 2016. Only 27% hold the opposite opinion, while the rest have no opinion. The rate of distrust of American voters reached 53% in Germany.
Respondents also generally underestimate the American political system, with 61% of them considered “completely corrupt” or “quite corrupt”, and only 27% considered “quite effective” or “very effective”.
Regarding Biden’s plan to regain US leadership, 51% of Europeans are not confident, believing that it is difficult for him to repair domestic tears in the United States, and it is also difficult for him to resolve international issues of climate change, Sino-US relations, European security, the Middle East and equality.
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Among 11 European countries, 59% believe that China’s national strength will “definitely” or “probably” surpass the United States within 10 years, while only 19% hold the opposite view. Among them, the Spanish are most optimistic about China, with a ratio of 79%, followed by Portuguese and Italians with 72%, followed by French (62%) and British (58%). Relative to the Hungarians who are least optimistic about China, the ratio is also 48%, which is significantly higher than the 35% who are optimistic about the United States.
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ECFR pointed out that Europeans generally believe that the US political system is corrupted and that China is surpassing it. This also affects the European public’s perception of the European and American Transatlantic Alliance and will have four major impacts on the Biden administration.
First, Europe is moving towards greater independence. At least 60% of respondents in all of the 11 countries believe that Europe cannot rely on the protection of the United States and therefore needs to invest in European defense. The rate of Germans who were deeply afraid of being invaded in the past now believes it is necessary for the United States to provide security guarantees has also been significantly reduced.
Second, rewrite the geopolitical relationship between China, the United States and Europe. Biden called on Europe and the United States to come closer and join forces against China, but the investigation revealed that Europeans did not want to stand with the United States in order to avoid a recurrence of the confrontation between the United States and the Soviet Union during the Cold War era. 60% of Europeans believe that their country should remain neutral between the differences between China and the United States. The proportions of choosing the United States or China are only 22% and 6% respectively.
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Third, Europe will resort to feelings less often when dealing with the relationship with the United States. Trump’s vigorous promotion of “America First” has made Europe and even other countries pay more attention to their own interests instead of first expanding the common interests of Western democratic countries. Among the major European countries such as Germany, France, the United Kingdom, and Italy, more people advocate being tougher on the United States economically.
Fourth, Germany’s core position is expected to be consolidated. European countries have lost trust in the United States and will try to rely more on the countries in Europe’s own region. Berlin, Germany is expected to replace Washington in the United States as the capital of “solving problems there.” The people of France, Spain, Denmark, the Netherlands, Portugal, and Hungary all advocated that their country should give priority to relations with Germany.
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