The poll also found that if nominated, Biden still has room to win over many Latinos who now prefer the Vermont senator.
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51% of Democrats registered to vote in the state support Biden, compared to 34% who intend to endorse the Vermont senator in the March 17 primary. Sanders also has an advantage over Trump facing the presidential ones (48% versus 43%).
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In the Univision poll, Hispanic Democrats were asked whom they would support if their favorite candidate withdrew from the race, only slightly more than half said they would vote for the Democrat regardless of who is nominated (59%), which aim to the former vice president may still gain ground to secure the support of Latino Sanders supporters.
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Also, in an eventual confrontation with Trump, 61% of Latinos affirm that they would favor Biden, but 14% are still undecided and another 5% affirm that they do not know enough about him.
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The candidate who wants to prevail in the state must consider that reducing health costs is the greatest concern of voters (33%). Among Latinos, 36% think which is a problem that Congress and the President must address.
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Given the current health crisis due to new coronavirus, a 59% of Arizona Latino voters believe the government is not doing enough to prevent the spread of the virus. Among all voters in the state, 50% believe that enough is being done, compared to 45% who believe that more should be done.
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In the November elections not only is the presidency at stake, if the Democrats conquer the White House they will need to win three chairs to dominate the Senate, which are now in the hands of the Republican Party (or four, if they fail to defeat Trump).
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In that sense, the Univision poll found that the Democrat Mark Kelly It has an important advantage for the Republican Martha McSally, not only among Latinos but among all Arizona voters.
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McSally is a veteran of the Air Force, appointed to the post by Republican Governor Doug Ducey after the death of John McCain. In the special election, he faces Kelly, a former astronaut married to former congresswoman Gabby Giffords, who suffered survived a 2011 assassination attempt and is now advocating for further restriction of firearms. Kelly announced her support for Biden the day before Super Tuesday.
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In the Senate, Republicans have 53 seats and Democrats 45, plus the support of two independent senators. In November 2020, many more Republican senators will be on the ballots compared to 2018. If Democrats maintain their dominance in the House of Representatives, they could control Congress.
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Methodology: Univision Noticias, in alliance with the Center for Latino / a and American Policy Studies from the University of Arizona, did a state survey of registered voters in Arizona. In addition, an oversampling of registered Latinos to vote in the state was included. The survey was carried out from March 6 to 11, 2020. The general survey (n = 1,036) has a margin of error of +/- 3.0. In the part focused on Latinos (n = 502), the possible error is +/- 4.4. The intention of 541 Democrats, with a margin of error of +/- 4.2, and 305 Latino voters, with a margin of error of +/- 5.6, was also investigated. All voters were randomly selected and given the opportunity to complete the poll in English or Spanish, by landline or cell phone or self-completed online questionnaires. They were invited to participate by phone, email or text message. It was confirmed that everyone was registered to vote. After collecting the information, post-stratification weights were applied to ensure that the final sample is aligned with the best Census CPS registered voter estimates in Arizona. The poll was conducted by Latino Decisions and supervised by Univision survey director Sergio García-Ríos.
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