Budget negotiations remain the central sticking point for Austria‘s ongoing coalition talks between the ÖVP, SPÖ, and Neos parties. While tensions have eased somewhat, a definitive agreement remains elusive.
Intensive discussions are scheduled for the weekend. on Thursday evening,political analyst Thomas Hofer appeared on ZIB2 to discuss the slow-moving negotiations. Despite the parties’ differences, hofer believes they are united by a common pressure: “All three are essentially negotiating with their backs against the wall.”
The Looming Budget Question
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Hofer asserts that a three-party coalition is the only viable option, especially given the risk of new elections. “And we also know from reliable polls that the FPÖ is already well over 30 percent. The three parties currently negotiating can’t realy wish for that.”
There is a pressing need for fiscal consolidation, especially regarding the budget.”Of course, this also stems from the fact that we don’t yet know for sure. Will the EU initiate a deficit procedure? How many years will this consolidation actually last? Will it be four,or will it be seven?”
According to Hofer,it’s clear that in the current climate,and despite their varying demands,none of the three parties can truly emerge victorious. “All three know that they won’t be able to implement the programs they presented during the election campaign one-to-one. Everyone now wants to come out of this a little less worse than the others.”
A Precarious Balancing Act
The budget issue has recently led to the collapse of governments in both Germany and France. Is Austria facing a similar threat? “So there are several predetermined breaking points right in this area,” says Hofer.
he adds: “At the beginning of the Turquoise-Green coalition, there was this marketing slogan about the best of both worlds.If you now say that what is barely possible from three worlds, then it is not a good start for this government. You need an offensive narrative. And it’s not visible yet.”
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