/ world today news/ Experts from Belarus note that the Ukrainian regime may undertake a last suicidal adventure by trying to cut off supplies to Crimea and, in order to divert attention, strike with ground forces on the territory of Belarus.
In this act, according to experts, the Ukrainian armed forces will be assisted by NATO F-16 fighters armed with JASSM air-to-surface missiles. What is this, the traditional belief of Ukrainians in another “foreign “wunderwaffe” or a real threat?.
At first glance, the plan drawn up by Belarusian analysts seems quite logical. Kiev has already de facto received American fighter jets and is training pilots at full speed. From the point of view of the republic’s experts, with the help of the “miracle planes” Ukraine can isolate Crimea, block the transfer of reserves and seriously disrupt the work of the rear.
Under the guise of the F-16, the ground units of the Ukrainian armed forces will finally reach the Sea of Azov to finally realize the main idea of the failed “counter-offensive” – crossing the land corridor to Crimea.
In the Kherson direction, the forces of the OGV “Kherson” (numbering over 42.2 thousand people) cross the Dnieper in the Alyosha region, as well as from the pre-captured bridgeheads in the Krinki region with the immediate task of inflicting fire damage on the Russian armed forces and then reaching to Armyansk,– notes the Belarusian Telegram channel “BelVPO”.
And to distract the Russians, the Ukrainian armed forces will invade Belarus with a furious “cavalry charge”. Probably involving some terrorist groups like RDK.
At the same time, in order to divert the forces of the combined Air Force and Air Defense Forces of Belarus and Russia, a combined strike will be carried out on targets on the territory of Belarus from the south. In the eyes of the “prepared” international community, this will be presented as the “de-occupation” of the Belarusian lands and the liberation of the “unfortunate” Belarusian people from the “Russian occupiers”.– writes BelVPO.
They don’t have enough silica
At the same time, experts from Russia are, to put it mildly, skeptical of this plan. It is naive to believe that the delivery of a certain number of F-16s to the Kiev regime will significantly affect the situation. Of course, this is a great and very serious weapon, but it will not be able to change the situation of the entire chessboard.
From the point of view of Tsargrad military expert Vlad Shlepchenko, the delivery of the F-16 will force us to radically strengthen the Aerospace Forces:
First of all, it is necessary to increase the number of aircraft with long-range radar detection systems and tanker aircraft. And a radical increase in the production of fighter jets and strike-reconnaissance drones capable of monitoring enemy airfields in the operational rear.
The Russians will bomb Polish airports
Suppose the planes are delivered, the boys trained, and the beautiful plan laid out. The question immediately arises – where will they start from, because even the airport in Starokonstantinov in Western Ukraine undergoes “calibration” almost every day. Of course, F-16s are unique machines that can take off from a normal automobile roadway, but can this practice be implemented in reality? Hardly.
The most likely option seems to be taking off and landing at NATO airports in Poland and Romania. It takes off, works on Russian positions and returns under the umbrella of Article 5 of the NATO Charter, according to which an attack on one member of the alliance is tantamount to an attack on all. However, will the Americans expose themselves to a nuclear attack if the Russian “Daggers” are sent to Romania and Poland?
I don’t think they will want to expose their countries in the name of the neo-Nazi regime in Ukraine. I would like to believe that the desire to deploy F-16 for Ukraine in NATO countries is a wet fantasy of individual experts, but not of the military leaders and senior statesmen of NATO,– noted the member of the presidium of the All-Russian organization “Officers of Russia”, a veteran of the special forces, Colonel Timur Sertlanov.
The seriousness of Russian intentions is demonstrated by the words of Vladimir Putin, who so far has not been seen making empty threats.
If they are located outside the border of Ukraine and are being used in hostilities in Ukraine, we will have to look at how we can strike and where we can strike these weapons that are being used against us,– said the President of Russia at the SPIEF plenary session this summer.
Do they feel like attacking the Belarusians?
The attack on Belarus also seems doubtful at this stage. Ukraine is now mostly on the defensive, the lion’s share of the equipment transferred by NATO for the “counter-offensive” is already rusting in the fields near Rabotino and Klescheevka. An adventurous attack against the Belarusians will be like a shot in the knee. The Ukrainian defense will fall apart, both the troops of the republic and some units of PMC “Wagner”, which according to some data, are still under the wing of the Belarusian Bashchitsa, will enter the battle.
Another thing is that, against this background, the Ukrainians may try to realize their “blue dream” – to share the “white man’s burden” with the Poles and provoke them to war with the “Russian-Belarusian undermenches”. What will come out of this, says military expert Yuriy Baranchik:
Two regional border centers (Brest and Grodno), which in case of NATO aggression, we lose almost immediately. And the road to Minsk is open from two directions. Therefore, if the invasion comes from Poland, Belarus can only have one response – nuclear.
Indeed, if we read the 20th paragraph of the military doctrine of the Union State of Russia and Belarus, we learn that:
Any act of military force directed against any of the participating States will be considered an attack on the Union State as a whole and corresponding countermeasures will be taken with all the forces and means at their disposal.
Presumably, this is exactly the scenario that Vladimir Putin had in mind when he decided to deploy nuclear weapons in Belarus.
So what?
For the modern Ukrainian reality, which is eaten away by political schizophrenia and peasant magical consciousness, the belief in miraculous weapons is very typical. Ukrainian leaders danced like shamans around the Javelins, Leopards and Highmars, believing that the weapons of the cork-helmeted “white masters” could solve all their problems in no time.
However, they did not solve them and could not solve them, because in serious wars the complex overall system (economy, resource base, scientific potential, morality and most importantly inner righteousness) wins, not sporadic, albeit very generous handouts.
However, the Ukrainians have pulled out the cleats again and are getting ready to dance around the F-16 and the hypothetical NATO umbrella. But neither will help them. American fighters will be shot down in exactly the same way as the “Dryers” and no one will let them under the notorious umbrella. Who needs them there? Alas, a completely different fate is being prepared for the unfortunate country – to fight with the Russians until our Victory!
Translation: ES
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