From Earth Threat to Lunar Concern

Initially a source of global concern due to its potential collision course with Earth, asteroid 2024 YR4 now poses a threat to the Moon, according to updated expert forecasts.The European Space Agency’s refined data initially removed the asteroid from the list of direct threats to our planet. However, new observations indicate a potential lunar impact.

Revised Trajectory and lunar Impact Probability

The James Webb telescope has played a crucial role in reassessing the trajectory of 2024 YR4. Current data suggests a 2% chance of the asteroid striking Earth’s natural satellite. While this eliminates the immediate danger to Earth, scientists are now focusing on the potential consequences of a lunar impact.

Expert Insights on Potential Lunar Impact

Julia de León, from the Institut d’Astrophysique des îles Canarys à la Palma, emphasized the shift in focus:

If he no longer represents a direct threat to the planet, 2024 YR4 would assist a lunar impact and his short -term impacts.

Julia de león, Institut d’Astrophysique des îles Canarys à la Palma

Asteroid Size and Potential Impact Zone

Analysis conducted using the james Webb telescope has determined that asteroid 2024 YR4 has a diameter of 60 meters. This size is significant when considering the potential impact zone.

De León further elaborated on the potential scale of destruction:

To this size,2024 YR4 can wreak havoc within a radius of 80 to 100 kilometers.

Julia de León, Institut d’Astrophysique des îles canarys à la Palma

Future Research and Updated Assessments

The scientific community remains vigilant, with plans to launch a new study in May to provide an updated assessment of the asteroid’s trajectory and potential impact scenarios. This ongoing research is crucial for refining our understanding and preparing for any potential consequences.