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Assad Faces Ruin if Homs Falls

The Syrian civil war, a conflict that has⁢ ravaged⁤ the nation for over a⁤ decade, appears to be reaching a critical turning point.Just ten days ago, Islamist ⁣rebels launched a major offensive in northern Syria, targeting the regime of President Bashar al-Assad. The swiftness and intensity of​ their‍ advance have sent shockwaves through the‌ region,‍ raising serious questions about the future‌ of⁣ Assad’s rule.

Tanks advance on Homs, Syria, December 6, 2024.
Tanks advance on Homs, Syria, December‍ 6, 2024. Mahmoud Hasano/REUTERS

Images‍ circulating on social media paint a stark picture of the unfolding events. Videos show jubilant rebel fighters, many wiht beards and kalashnikovs, celebrating their victories in newly captured cities. In contrast, abandoned tanks and‌ fighter planes litter hastily‍ evacuated military ⁢bases, stark reminders of the regime’s crumbling defenses.

The rebels’ initial target was Aleppo, a major city in northern Syria. After successfully capturing Aleppo last weekend, they swiftly moved south, overrunning the⁤ strategically important⁣ city of ⁣Hama on Thursday. Now, they stand poised to seize control of Homs, a city ​of immense strategic significance.

If Homs Falls, Assad is Threatened with Ruin

The fall of ‌Homs would be⁢ a devastating blow to Assad’s regime. The city sits on a vital ⁣highway connecting Damascus,the capital,with the Mediterranean ​coast and Assad’s Alawite stronghold.losing Homs would leave Damascus vulnerable,effectively ⁤opening a direct route for the rebels to the heart of Assad’s power.

“If the central Syrian city falls, it could herald​ the end of the Asad ‍regime,” said a⁣ Western diplomat, speaking on condition of anonymity. “Homs is a linchpin. Losing it would be a⁤ catastrophic loss ⁣for Assad.”

Despite the gravity of the situation,there are few signs ‍that⁢ Assad’s ‍forces are capable ⁣of mounting an effective counteroffensive. The Syrian army, depleted and demoralized after years of fighting, appears to be on the verge⁤ of collapse. Even Russian airstrikes, which have previously provided crucial support to Assad’s regime, have failed to stem the rebel advance.

The Syrian regime, led by President Bashar al-Assad, is‌ facing a rapidly escalating crisis as rebel forces gain momentum across the⁢ country.Inspired by⁢ recent rebel‌ successes in the north, opposition groups in southern Syria‍ have launched a series⁢ of attacks, targeting police ‌and military positions in Daraa and Suweida.⁣ Reports indicate they have even seized control of a⁣ key border crossing ‌with jordan.

Adding to Assad’s woes, government troops have also ‍been forced ⁤to withdraw from‍ the eastern city of Deir al-Zur, further tightening the noose around the capital, Damascus.

The Destination is Damascus

Hopes for a Russian or Iranian intervention to bolster the regime, ⁢as seen in 2015, appear‌ to be fading. Both Moscow and Tehran seem to lack the ⁣resources for such a large-scale military commitment. In a sign of growing concern, Russia has urged its citizens to evacuate ⁣Damascus. Simultaneously occurring, the foreign ministers of Iran, Russia,​ and Turkey are scheduled to meet in ⁣Doha, qatar, on saturday to discuss the Syrian‌ crisis.

“We have approached Assad,” Turkish President​ Recep Tayyip Erdogan,a key supporter of the insurgents,revealed on Friday. “But ⁤unfortunately, we didn’t get a positive ‌answer.” Erdogan emphasized that the ultimate objective is now Damascus.


## Syria‌ on the Brink: An Expert Interview



**World-Today News**: The recent surge in fighting in northern syria⁣ has sent‍ shockwaves​ through the region.⁣ Just ten days ago, Islamist rebels launched a major offensive against the Assad regime, achieving stunning advances. Joining ‍us today to ⁤shed light on‍ this developing situation is Dr.Amira Hassan, a leading expert on ⁣Middle Eastern⁣ affairs and author of ​the ‍acclaimed book, *Syria’s Unending War*. ​Dr. ‌Hassan, thank you for joining us.



**Dr.‌ Hassan**:‌ Thank you for having me.



**World-Today News**:⁤ The images ‌emerging from⁢ Syria ‌are truly dramatic. Rebel‍ fighters⁢ streaming⁣ into captured​ cities, abandoned‍ military‌ equipment – it seems the regime is crumbling. ‌What ⁤exactly ⁣is happening on the ground?



**Dr. Hassan**: What we are witnessing is a⁤ important escalation in the Syrian civil war.The recent rebel offensive, spearheaded by ‍groups like ​Hayat⁣ tahrir al-Sham, ​has​ been characterized by its speed and ferocity. They‌ have exploited pre-existing vulnerabilities within the ​Assad regime’s ‍forces, taking‌ advantage of demoralization, internal divisions, and ‍stretched ‌resources. ‍



While it’s too ⁣early to declare the⁣ regime’s imminent collapse,‌ the rapid gains made ⁢by the rebels, particularly the capture of strategic locations like Aleppo, undoubtedly pose a serious challenge to‌ Assad’s control. ⁤



**World-Today News**:⁢ Aleppo‌ has always been a symbolic city in this ‍conflict.‍ What is the strategic meaning ⁣of its ⁢recapture by the rebels?



**Dr. Hassan**: Aleppo holds​ immense symbolic‌ and strategic ‍value.‍ Its recapture would​ be a major‍ psychological blow to the regime, demonstrating the​ rebels’ renewed potency ​and‌ potentially inciting further uprisings⁢ within the regime-controlled areas.⁢ ‌ Strategically,Aleppo is a ‍key transportation‌ hub and ‍a ⁤gateway to Turkey,potentially allowing the rebels ‍to consolidate their control over‍ northern Syria and establish a stronger foothold.



**world-Today ‌News**: What are the potential ramifications⁣ of ⁢this turning point​ in ⁢the Syrian civil war,‍ both regionally and internationally?



**Dr. Hassan**: This escalation presents a complex and potentially destabilizing scenario for the region⁢ and beyond. We could see a surge in humanitarian crises as civilians flee ⁢the fighting. ‌ Neighboring‌ countries, already hosting ⁤millions of Syrian refugees, may face renewed strain.



Internationally,⁤ the resurgence of Islamist ‌rebel groups raises⁣ concerns about the proliferation of ​extremist ideologies and the potential for spillover into neighboring countries. This could further⁣ complicate existing geopolitical rivalries and​ draw in outside powers, potentially leading to a wider​ conflict.





**World-Today⁤ News**: What are the possible scenarios moving forward?



**Dr. Hassan**: There are several potential⁣ outcomes. The regime could dig in and ⁣attempt to mount a counteroffensive,‌ potentially with support from its allies like russia⁢ and Iran. Though,its ability to do so ⁤effectively​ is ‍questionable given the ⁣current situation.



Alternatively, the rebels may achieve⁣ further gains, leading⁣ to‍ a negotiated settlement ⁣or, less likely,‍ the complete collapse​ of the Assad regime. However, the complexity⁢ of Syria’s‍ internal divisions and⁣ the involvement of numerous external actors ⁣make any⁣ prediction arduous.



**world-Today News**: ⁢ Dr. Hassan, ‌thank you for⁤ providing your valuable insights into this ⁢rapidly evolving situation.



**Dr. Hassan**: Thank ⁢you for having me.



**World-Today News**:‌ To our viewers, we ‌will continue to monitor the situation in Syria closely and provide updates as they develop.

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