[Arima Memorial/Pre-run Rote]Shuten-gumi is the “royal road” in recent years.

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2022.12.18
2022.12.19
Keiichi Obata

The 67th race to be held at Nakayama Racecourse on the 25thArim memorial(GI, turf 2500 m) data analysis of the last 10 years.

By taking 1st place in the fan vote, he will be the 15th horse in history to win the Spring/Autumn Grand Prixtitle holderWin the Zenso Fall Emperor’s AwardEquinoxlast year’s champion and horse of the yearEfforiawon the Queen Elizabeth CupGeraldineJapan Champion CVera Azul16 horses are expected, including 7 GI horses.

Here’s a tip for forecasting “previous rotation of the race” will be analyzed.

◆[Arima Kinen 2022/Tendenza della qualità delle gambe]Only Kitasan Black is the only escape, and the holder of the title is Hana or No.

■ Kikka Sho and Japan Group C have been slow in recent years

Over the past 10 years, the most three wins have been in the previous race.Chrysanthemum AwardIn the group[3.1.2.7]Win Rate 23.1%, Top 2 Win Rate 30.8%, Double Win Rate 46.2%. However, after the world premiere of 3rd place in 2019, he did not appear in the betting ticket. Last year, title holder Kikuka Shouma was 4th favorite and 5th, and Stella Veloce, who was 4th favorite, finished 3rd and 4th.

1st[2.0.2.1]2nd[0.0.0.1]3rd[0.0.0.2]4th[1.0.0.1]6th or lower[0.1.0.2].Basically, first place in Kikkasho is good running condition and second place this yearBordoghushThirdJustin Palaceit’s hard.

[Arima Memorial]Rote ahead of the last 10 years

Kikkasho[3.1.2.7]Win Rate 23.1%, 2-2 Win Rate 30.8%, Doubles Win Rate 46.2%
Japan c[2.2.5.47]Win Rate 3.6%, Top 2 Win Rate 7.1%, Double Win Rate 16.1%
Emperor’s Award Autumn[2.2.1.12]Win rate 11.8%, top two win rate 23.5%, multiple win rate 29.4%
Arc de Triomphe[1.1.2.3]Win Rate 14.3%, Top 2 Win Rate 28.6%, Double Win Rate 57.1%
Cup of the Argentine Republic[1.0.0.5]Win Rate / Multiple Win Rate / Multiple Win Rate 26.7%
Cox Plate[1.0.0.0]Win Rate / Double Win Rate / Multiple Win Rate 100%
Queen Elizabeth Cup[0.2.0.18]Win Rate 0%, 20%/20% Win Rate 10.0%
Golden Shachi Award[0.2.0.13]Win Rate 0%, 2nd/2nd Win Rate 13.3%

The second victory after the previous race, the Kikka Sho group, is the previous race.Japan cGroup,Emperor’s Award/Autumnsetting up. The previous run, Group Japan C, was out of tickets after Chevalgrand, who finished third in 2018, and there are only four consecutive victories between Japan C and Arima Kinen, including Deep Impact in 2006. Over the past 10 years, the finish of Japan C 1 is[0.1.1.2].Vera Azulit cannot be displayed centrally in the data.

■ Be wary of Akiten-gumi and Eri-jo-gumi as tendencies

The trend in recent years is the Emperor’s Award, Autumn Troupe. Last year Efforia won the Emperor’s Award in the fall and Arima Kinen in a row, and in 2020, the Emperor’s Award in the fall 3rd place, Chronogenesis, was crowned, and Fieremann, who came in 2nd place, is also entered 3rd place, making him a betting ticket for 4 consecutive years The first horse is[1.1.0.1]. In 2019, the almond eye cried against the distance wall and fell to 9th place, but the Emperor’s prize horse in the fall can be seen as the center.Equinoxit is the main axis.

previous raceArc de Triomphe AwardThe group is the last 10 years[1.1.2.3]. The 2013 Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe, Orfevre, is the sole winner, but Deep Bond, in 14th place last year, finished second and Chronogenesis, in 7th place, finished third.11 winners of the Prix de the Arc de Triomphetitle holder18th placedeep connectionit’s a “buy” even if the previous ride was a crushing defeat.

Moreover,queen elizabeth cupThe set is[0.2.0.18]. In 2017, No. 8 favorite Queen’s Ring finished second and in 2020, No. 11 favorite Sarakia finished second.Geraldinecannot be underestimated. On the other hand,Takarazuka MemorialThe set is[0.0.0.1]. Although the number of champions is too small to make a judgment, the second round of the fall is[3.1.1.31]and the third round of the fall is[6.6.7.64].Directly from Takarazuka KinenEfforiait will be a test for

◆[Arima Memorial 2022/Popularity Trend]Aiming for “raw pimp” to “buy” odds 1 + 2 popularity in betting ticket for 5 consecutive years

◆[Arima Kinen 2022/Tendenza della qualità delle gambe]Only Kitasan Black is the only escape, and the holder of the title is Hana or No.

◆[Riproduzione video / Arima Memorial 2021]1 popular Efforia stretches his legs on the last straight and takes a clear victory, GI victory 3

Editorial direction of Frase Spread

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