Citizens waiting for COVID-19 test▶ Click here for a larger view
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Amidst the signs of re-proliferation of a new coronavirus infection (Corona 19) in Korea, which has been in calm for a while, the government will announce a’social distancing’ adjustment plan to be applied from next week on the afternoon of the 31st.
In the new year, when the number of new confirmed patients dropped to 300-400, the government took a step toward lowering the current distance (2.5 steps in the metropolitan area, 2 steps in the non-metropolitan area), and then around 500 people again starting from the group infection initiated by the IM Mission. When it increased to, it entered a full review.
Moreover, as the number of infection reproductive indexes exceeded 1, which is the benchmark for epidemic suppression and spread, amid the increase in new confirmed cases, it became a burdensome situation to ease distancing.
There is a high possibility that the ban on private gatherings with more than 5 people will be extended.
◇ Falls to 300 in five days… Hospital-church-workplace infection spread
According to the Central Defense Response Headquarters (Bang Daebon), there were 355 new cases of Corona 19 as of 0 o’clock on the day.
It is only five days since the 26th (349) that the number of new confirmed cases has fallen to 300.
Although the number of confirmed cases decreased on this day, it is difficult to conclude that the recent spread of the disease has waned as there is also an impact on the weekend when the number of tests decreased to half of the weekday. The number of tests per day the previous day was 24,290, which was 22,000,978 fewer than 47,000 on the previous weekday.
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Shinto group infection… Gwangju Antioch Church total inspection▶ Click here for a larger view
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In the last week (1.25~31), the number of new confirmed cases per day was 437 → 349 → 559 → 497 → 469 → 458 → 355, with an average of 446 cases per day.
Among them, the number of confirmed cases of regional outbreaks, which is a key indicator of the adjustment of the distance-taking stage, is counted as an average of about 418 per day, and has re-entered the distance-taking stage 2.5 (400-500 or more nationwide, or a rapid increase in patients such as doubling).
This is largely influenced by cases of large and small outbreaks in various places including Hanyang University Hospital and Boramae Hospital in Seoul, while the aftermath of group infection from IM Mission continues.
As of the previous day, 13 people were added in relation to six alternative education facilities for IM Mission, and the cumulative number of confirmed patients increased to 368.
In addition, 27 people, including patients, caregivers, and medical staff, have been infected at Hanyang University Hospital in Seoul. The number of confirmed cases may increase as a complete examination is currently in progress.
Five patients, including 3 patients, 1 doctor, and 1 nurse, were confirmed at Boramae Hospital in Seoul.
In addition, ▲ Antioch Church in Seo-gu, Gwangju (87 people cumulative) ▲ Meat processing companies in Chungju-si, Chungbuk and Gimje-si, Jeonbuk (52 people) ▲ Workplaces in Gangnam-gu, Seoul (51 people) ▲ Taekwondojang (49 people) in Andong-si, Gyeongbuk, etc. happened.
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Social distancing (CG)▶ Click here for a larger view
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◇ Announcement of the distancing adjustment plan at 4:30 pm… Possibility of maintaining the current stage
In this regard, the government will decide whether to extend the distancing adjustment plan and the ban on private gatherings of 5 or more people, taking into account the patient outbreak pattern, the spread of infection, and expert opinion.
After final discussions at the Central Disaster and Safety Countermeasure Headquarters meeting presided over by Prime Minister Chung Sye-gyun at 3 pm, the results will be announced through a 4:30 briefing.
“The trend of corona19 confirmed patients, which has been stable for a while, continues to spread to 400 people due to the outbreak of group infection at the Daejeon IM Mission,” said Jeon Jeon-cheol, the 2nd deputy chief of the transcript (Minister of Public Administration and Security) at a meeting the day before. “We are reviewing the change of social distancing stage more carefully than ever in consideration of the situation,” he said.
The government is known to be reviewing the current steps of distancing and further extension of the ban on meetings of five or more people.
Earlier, at the Living Prevention Committee held on the 27th, experts’ opinions on whether to ease distance distancing were mixed with pros and cons, but this is because the Corona 19 situation has not improved since then.
In fact, in recent years, quarantine indicators such as infection reproduction index and weekend movement are deteriorating day by day.
Sook-young Lim, general manager of the situation, said at a briefing the day before, “As the infectious reproductive index is now slightly above 1, we are judging whether the incidence of patients is slightly increasing.”
The infection reproductive index is an index showing how many other people are infected by one confirmed person. If this number is more than 1, it means’the spread of the pandemic’, and if it is less than 1, it means’the pandemic suppression’.
As the number of confirmed cases declined in the new year, this index remained below 1 for 3 consecutive weeks, from 0.88 → 0.79 → 0.82 week by week from the first week of January, but again exceeded 1.
Director Lim also said, “Another concern is that the indicator of social mobility is increasing for two consecutive weeks,” he said. “As can be seen from the case of group outbreaks related to the IM mission, a nationwide large-scale group outbreak can occur at any time, Situation”.
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