The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) describes the situation south of Robotino as unstable, tactically complex and dynamic, with important field fortifications changing hands several times.
Source: ISW
Details: Analysts note that Russian troops are conducting tactical counterattacks in the Robotino area as part of their “defense in depth” (the Russian army is deeply entrenched in the temporarily occupied territories of Ukraine – ed.) against Ukrainian offensive operations in the western Zaporozhye region.
At the same time, experts say, the situation south of Robotino is unstable, since some tactically important field fortifications have changed hands several times, the tactical situation in this area is complex and dynamic.
As for the status of the Wagner group, the report says, it remains unclear amid reports of negotiations about the future cooperation of Wagner with the Russian government.
Wagner’s core combat elements are scattered across several countries, including Belarus, the Central African Republic, Libya and Mali, and there is no clearly defined single leader of the group.
ISW will reconsider its assessment of the prospects for the revival of the Wagner Group as an effective military organization if it successfully re-establishes itself as a large unitary organization under the leadership of the Russian Guard, the Russian Ministry of Defense or similar departments.
ISW Key Findings for October 1:
Russian troops are conducting tactical counterattacks in the Robotino area as part of a “defense in depth” against Ukrainian offensive operations ongoing in the western Zaporozhye region. The situation south of Robotino is unstable, as some tactically important field fortifications have changed hands several times. The Russian media continues to falsely portray Western assistance to Ukraine as an escalation in order to prevent further Western support for Ukraine. The status of the Wagner group remains unclear amid reports of negotiations on the PMC’s future cooperation with the Russian government. ISW will reconsider its assessment of Wagner’s prospects as an effective military organization if it successfully re-establishes itself as a large unitary organization within the Russian Guard, the Russian Ministry of Defense, or similar organizations. On the night of September 30 to October 1, Russian troops carried out another series of drone strikes in Ukraine. Russian troops continued offensive operations along the Kupyansk-Liman line, near Bakhmut, along the Avdeevka-Donetsk line, in the border zone of the Donetsk and Zaporozhye regions, as well as in the west of the Zaporozhye region, having advanced somewhat in the western part of the Zaporozhye region. The Russian Ministry of Defense officially announced the start of the next autumn conscription cycle 2023 on October 1.
2023-10-02 01:58:30
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