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America’s Elections: Will Iowa Vote for Harris? Polls show a surprising lead for the Democratic candidate

This article was published in English

The campaign has focused heavily on seven key swing states, but polls show Iowa is likely to be the favorite.

Notice

A shocking poll from Iowa has added another swing state to the list of swing states in US elections, as Kamala Harris and…Donald Trump On the last vote.

The Des Moines Register poll, which was conducted Saturday night, puts Harris ahead by three points in the state, which has not voted for a Democrat for president since it supported Barack Obama in 2012.

America’s Elections: Will Iowa Vote for Harris? Polls show a surprising lead for the Democratic candidate

This state has only 6 votes in the Electoral College, but its loss will make Trump’s path to the presidency very difficult, as he tries to wrest the largest number of states from Harris and the Democrats.

Although this poll is an anomaly, it is important because of its source: Ann Selzer and her Iowa-based polling firm, which is widely respected for its accuracy. to vote in the rural state over the previous years.

According to the poll, which was the last poll conducted by Selzer in Iowa before the election, it appeared that… Harris She leads Trump in large part because of her surprising lead among college-educated white women, many of whom are angry about the dramatic reversal in abortion rights since Trump first took office .

Iowa has restricted a woman’s right to an abortion after the sixth week of pregnancy, a stage when many women do not know they are pregnant.

While it allows exceptions in cases of rape, incest, serious fetal abnormalities or threats to the mother’s life, the ban is very unpopular even among many unaffiliated women voters and suffragists. a swing that has previously supported Republicans.

This poll immediately attracted the attention of the American political media. The Trump campaign quickly issued a press release comparing it to another poll that showed their candidate ahead in the state.

The national polling picture shows a nearly tied race, with neither Harris nor Trump holding significant, unalterable leads in the seven key swing states: Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Nevada, Georgia and Arizona .

However, record early voting in many states has some observers questioning whether the polling industry will be able to accurately model the makeup of this year’s voters.

Additionally, many typically “safe” states have seen very little presidential voting even since Harris took over the Democratic campaign after dropping out. joe biden This past summer.

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2024-11-03 22:01:00

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