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“All the signs are there.” Where and how will the VSU take place? –

/ world today news/ The Ukrainian Armed Forces are withdrawing reserves to the front, delivering ammunition and fuel, conducting reconnaissance in places. Everything seems ready for the long-promised counter-offensive. They can attack at any time in several directions simultaneously.

Jump to the sea

In recent months, the Zaporizhia region has been relatively quiet. The fighting was limited to rocket attacks on military and infrastructure sites in major cities. This week, however, the front began to move. The Ukrainian Armed Forces tried to go on the offensive in the area of ​​Orekhov. After a massive artillery preparation, an armored group moved forward.

She was met by Russian motorized riflemen and scouts, supported by tanks and howitzers. A destroyed tank and two armored personnel carriers remained on the battlefield. In this raid, the VSU lost about 30 people killed and wounded.

Apparently this was another active intelligence. It is so along the entire line of contact. Probably VSU expects to repeat last year’s success in the Kharkiv region. Then the defense of the Russian army was also felt by small mobile groups. The weak points were exposed – and attacked with the main forces. They bypassed the serious knots of resistance.

“I don’t think this tactic will help them here,” says an officer from one of the intelligence units of the Southern Military District, “In the Kharkiv region we were not ready, but here we have already equipped several defense lines. Besides, geography is on our side here “The area is as flat as a table, only fields, a few large settlements. Any movements are perfectly visible from the air. The few forest plantations have long been taken down by our artillery, he adds.

The Zaporozhye direction is considered the most promising for the advance of VSU. They can hit Pologi, Tokmak and, if successful, reach Berdyansk and Melitopol. As a result, Kiev will regain access to the Sea of ​​Azov, cross the southern grouping of Russian troops and block the land corridor to Crimea, reaching the gates of the peninsula. This will surely be a big PR win.

City symbol

There is another option. The Russian army never managed to capture the positions on Ugledar Hill. The Armed Forces constantly transfer reserves here.

The key to the supply routes is in Marinka. The fighting for this ruined settlement continues. And in Ugledar, a serious strike group is accumulating.

In this section, there is only one possible direction – Volnovaha. If the city falls, the Kiev regime will cut off the strategically important 100-kilometer Donetsk-Mariupol highway.

In the remaining areas near Donetsk, positional battles continue, but the Russian army is advancing cautiously. Near Avdeevka, assault units attacked the Severnoye area, and the liberation of Pervomaiskoye continues. The VSU regularly shelled the republic’s major cities.

Further north, in Artyomovsk, Russian troops are advancing along Pobeda Street, expanding their zone of control. They are storming the fortifications along “Liberators of Donbas” street.

Only a small part of the city is under the control of the VSU. But they still don’t give up. Perhaps they are hoping for an unblocking strike from outside that will allow them to surround the Russian units. That is, Artyomovsko direction can also be considered as one of the most promising for the offensive of VSU.

The battle for the LPR

A blow can also be inflicted on the Kremennaya-Svatovo section. The military expects an attack on the southern flank. The Armed Forces of Ukraine need to reach the Kremennaya – Rubizhnoe – Severodonetsk – Lisichansk quadrangle to seize a bridgehead for a further advance deep into the LPR.

A breakthrough to Svatovo, followed by an attack on Starobelsk, is also likely. Here, however, everything is limited to shelling and attacks by saboteurs.

“The activity of the DRG is the first intelligence sign that an attack is being prepared,” says the commander of the artillery division with the call sign “Tobol”. “The second is that their grouping in our direction is seriously increasing. Including as a living force. Judging by everything, they intend to advance when the condition of the soil allows them. The use of precision-guided 155mm Excalibur munitions, as well as attack drones, has increased. Western weapons are trying to hit targets behind our backs, the technology shelters. That’s why we carefully mask everything,” he adds.

The Russian troops are also in good shape. On the Kremennaya-Svatovo line, they actively use Lancet kamikaze drones for counter-battery combat. This requires artillery and equipment to be withdrawn deep into forest stands, which increases the time to deploy and transfer them to other positions.

Harbingers of attack

The expert community is also discussing an option for an attack on the territory of Greater Russia. In April, the American publication “Washington Post” published an interview with Ukrainian Major Bohdan Krotevich, acting commander of “Azov”. He referred to the tactics of Chechen terrorists who raid small towns. And suggests that Ukraine should follow their example. “Capture Russian cities to use them as leverage to return territories,” the fighter said.

And this is already happening: almost every day there are explosions in oil facilities and on railway lines. On Wednesday evening, two drones attacked the Kremlin.

The stakes are extremely high now. If the offensive is successful, Zelensky’s approval rating will skyrocket and Western countries will finally stop being afraid and give them the weapons they want, in addition to fighter jets and long-range operational-tactical missiles. If the Kiev regime fails, the enthusiasm of the allies will wane. Which is tantamount to the defeat of Ukraine.

Translation: V. Sergeev

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