/ world today news/ Ambitious people are jumping around Ninova, they have already chosen their fields and ministries
Interest in the presidential election is like “Big Brother”. Nothing more. None of the political forces show that they have understood what the president is doing and what candidate to nominate.
GERB imagined that this should be a strong minister or mayor, but was afraid of slipping out of party control. Borisov is deluding himself that he didn’t even think about the presidential elections now, he is so busy. On the contrary, that’s all he thinks about, even such statements are part of his campaign. It got to the point that he warmed the hearts of the most outspoken Russophiles with his bright anti-imperialist tirade.
BSP enters the campaign with an interesting, although not very well-known candidacy. But Kornelia Ninova, with her clumsy game of intra-party democracy, awakened sharp discords. And it raised many suspicions of collusion. If the BSP does not split and run a good campaign, it can perform well.
ABV will rely on common actions to control the BSP and implement the plans for bringing it into power. Parvanov was only bluffing with his own candidacy.
The reformers imagine the president to be something like the American president, young and cocky, a better version of Plevneliev. They went so far as to nominate anyone they saw on television as their candidate. Especially if he was critical of Borisov.
The Patriots rely on the situation. DPS passes to sell its support. The cost of this support will not be very high. A week before the election day, Slavi Trifonov with the Orlov Most rally can change the mood in the country. But all this will be quickly forgotten. However the presidential elections end, there will be early elections. As long as one of the two parties GERB and BSP has not failed catastrophically.
It is clear that early elections can only be caused by Boyko Borisov. If GERB wins the elections, he has an interest in guaranteeing her another four years in power, because invariably her popularity declines. If GERB loses the presidency due to a weak candidacy, it becomes even more imperative to extend her life in office. Initiates are probably considering these options and preparing for them.
After the early elections, we will have a Grand Coalition between GERB and BSP (probably in some combination with ABV). There was talk of such a possibility even after the election of Cornelia Ninova as the leader of the left. The developments so far have not refuted the suspicions of behind-the-scenes agreements, they have even strengthened them. But let’s not fall into the role of “Big Brother” viewers who argue about who put watermelon rind on whom or poured water on them. Regardless of whether or not there are conspiracies and agreements, there are objective processes that lead the country to the common rule of the two major parties.
First of all, we must admit that as a result of the complicated international situation, there have been fundamental changes in the attitudes of the Bulgarian people, as far as the attitude towards the main players on the world political stage and the foreign policy orientation of the country is concerned. Changes that seemed unthinkable until a year or two earlier. For the first time, the reputation of the USA as an infallible arbiter on a global scale fell so low, after Prime Minister Borissov himself publicly criticized the role of the “leaders” in the current global political crisis. For the first time, Putin’s personality and Russia’s role were publicly discussed sympathetically. For the first time, Euroscepticism conquered part of the political and intellectual elite. Who is to blame for all this is a separate topic, because cold war-style crude propaganda causes exactly the opposite reactions. All this requires the country to conduct a well-balanced foreign policy that firmly defends national interests. The current practice of achieving “balance” through contradictory public statements by the prime minister and his ministers cannot fool anyone and raises doubts about the lack of a unified policy. A government of GERB and BSP, with well-coordinated actions on the international stage, will not arouse suspicion among our allies and partners and will be accepted with confidence both in the West and in the East.
If this mainly refers to the relations with the USA and Russia, then for the EU it is more than certain that Berlin will look favorably on the Bulgarian version of the German Grand Coalition, and this means that the reaction of Brussels will be similar. By the way, to the extent that all leading world trends are reflected in the Balkans, Bulgaria will be in a more favorable position towards all our neighbors.
A Dimitar Popov-type government, which helped Bulgaria solve some of the most important tasks of the transition in the conditions of acute confrontation, will be able to govern the country more efficiently, implement long-delayed reforms and revive the economy. It is already quite obvious that Borisov’s cabinet does not have a unified policy, continuous bargaining is conducted and any reform activity is blocked. The administrative helplessness of most of the ministers is irritating, especially those from the so-called Reformation block. It is difficult to even remember the names of most of the ministers, what remains of anything they did. Outside of any propaganda, BSP can offer more competent individuals. Ambitious persons are already jumping around Ninova with impatience, having already chosen their fields and ministries. Of course, she would make a grave mistake if she brought people from the leading party bodies into the government. This mistake was made by Stanishev, and every crisis in the government brought a crisis in the party as well.
Even if we look at it from the perspective of selfish party interest, both parties have a lot to gain. GERB will get rid of some of its current dubious allies, who have only claims, but have no contribution to the development of the country. Ideological compatibility is not a problem, yet a significant part of GERB’s assets is from the middle party and administrative nomenclature of the BKP.
Of course, GERB must play this game fairly. Not to strive for overt dominance. Not to push those ministries that are the most difficult and bring only negatives to your partner.
Of course, the BSP can afford to enter a Grand Coalition only if it has performed well enough in the parliamentary elections. This means that it has as many MPs as are sufficient to trigger a government crisis.
In order not to deface itself, lose the trust of its supporters and be absorbed by GERB, the BSP must set certain conditions without which it will not enter the coalition. One of them is to abolish the flat tax and bring back the income system. It seems to me that this condition will be accepted.
And what will happen to Boyko? Who will be prime minister? What will Nineveh be like? And Tsvetanov? Wait, wait. We understand this isn’t Big Brother, right?
#early #elections #Grand #Coalition #GERB #BSP
