According to a new study, an important sea current is being weakened – the summer in Finland would resemble November more in the future – 2024-08-31 03:06:22

The edge of Iceland’s Vatnajökull glacier is melting at a rate of about one meter per year as a result of global warming. However, new research predicts a chilling change in the climate of Northern Europe. Illustration picture. Arttu Laitala

According to a new Dutch study, there is a 95 percent chance that the back and forth ocean flow in the North Atlantic will stop during this century. This would mean that, for example, Finland’s climate would become considerably more arctic.

In Finland, the study was previously reported by Yle.

Also known as the Atlantic Thermohaline Circulation, the Amoc Ocean Current transports heat from the south to the north. If the sea current no longer transported heat to the north, the temperatures would drop to the level of Alaska and Eastern Siberia.

At the beginning of this year, Iltalehti reported on another study, according to which Northern Europe could be covered with a thick ice cover if the Amoc flow stops. According to the study, Finland’s average temperature could drop by as much as 10–20 degrees within a hundred years.

According to Foreca, the highest daily temperature in July is 21–23 degrees on average in southern and central Finland. If the temperature were to drop according to the research result, it would mean spending summer vacations in November atmospheres, with readings of around 1-13 degrees.

According to a new Dutch study, the effects may be seen even faster than a hundred-year timescale. According to the study, there is a more than 42 percent probability that the sea current will stop bringing heat to Europe before 2050, i.e. in the next 26 years.

Research professor at the Department of Meteorology Jari Haapala said to Iltalehti in February that although he considers a weakening of the sea current possible, its stopping and the catastrophic cooling of the North is still not likely for him.

Even though a lot of research has been done on the subject, the UN climate panel does not consider it likely that the sea flow will stop.