This yr’s summer time it’s anticipated to be one of many warmest lately in Europe, in response to its forecast information European Middle for Medium-Vary Climate Forecasts (ECMWF)which reposts it Nationwide Observatory of Athens/meteo.gr
The acute temperature deviation worth is calculated near +2.5ºC in relation to the local weather worth of the interval 1993-2016. It’s famous that that is the primary time that not one of the out there forecast eventualities for Might this yr present unfavourable temperature deviations for the entire of Europe.
The most well liked summer time lately was recorded in 2022, very near one of many excessive predicted values in Might 2022.
The chart
The connected graph data the previous forecasts for every Might from 2017 to the current for the summer time months (June-July-August) with the grey bars displaying the uncertainty within the worth deviations from the 1993-2016 local weather worth and the grey circles to point out the intense predictive values of all out there eventualities.
The crimson “X” dots present the precise temperatures noticed by meteorological stations after the top of the forecast durations, displaying that the ECMWF mannequin has to date predicted very precisely the overall temperature course in Europe in summer time, and barely underestimates the precise values.
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