“GERB’s chance is that the opposition is largely divided. This allows GERB to strengthen and regain its political form,” Gallup executive director Parvan Simeonov told Bulgaria ON AIR.
The political scientist pointed out that there are currently no more than 5.2 million people with voting rights in Bulgaria. And the latest Gallup poll shows an increase in the gap in support for GERB and BSP – in favor of GERB.
“It is a problem to determine who is in third place – Slavi Trifonov or MRF. Democratic Bulgaria has lost momentum since the summer, but has a clear prospect of being in the National Assembly.
Around and above the edge are two more formations – of Ms. Maya Manolova and IMRO, “Simeonov said in the studio of Bulgaria in the Morning.
According to him, there are several other parties for which a good performance can be expected, which, however, does not include jumping the barrier – “Patriotic Coalition Will and NFSB”, “Vazrazhdane”, ABV, “Republicans for Bulgaria”, “Attack”. .
“There are currently 7 formations in the race for parliament – 5 + 2. Voter turnout is expected to be lower due to the coronavirus.
Older people may be more worried and abstaining from voting. The coronavirus negatively affects the opposition.
We expect about 3 million voters to turn out. There is not much voting in Bulgaria, “the political scientist added.
According to Parvan Simeonov, the formula presupposes coalitions around GERB and BSP. Hidden coalition formulas without clear responsibility are also possible, which were usually to the liking of the MRF, it became clear from his words.
“Democratic Bulgaria can expect support from abroad. It is possible that Slavi Trifonov will have a solid result from abroad.
The MRF is also appearing in southwestern Europe due to labor migration. The majority of votes abroad is also a vote from Turkey. Officially, Ankara is already very warm to the MRF, “Simeonov explained.
“Lately we prefer personalities, this has become a cliché. People don’t read the programs very much. When people look for quick solutions and fulfilled promises, the parties orient themselves in this way -” We will do “,” We will fulfill “.
Borissov is still a narrator to this day – this is his famous communication ability, “he stressed.
Finally, Simeonov called on the health authorities not to resort to new escalations of measures and hysterical closures.
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