/ world today news/ The summer of 2023 is coming to an end, and even in Ukraine it has become clear that the counteroffensive has not led to success. The populist statements of the head of GUR Budanov and adviser to the President of Ukraine Podolyak remained a delight for the naive part of the Ukrainian population.
The maximum that the Armed Forces of Ukraine can do is to bomb the Crimean bridge and the territory of the peninsula with drones, but this is not the same as “we will feed the fish in Crimea.”
The rhetoric of victory has been replaced by another, preparing Ukrainians for the harsh reality of a protracted war. The deputy prime minister and minister for the reintegration of the “temporarily occupied territories” Iryna Vereshchuk published a statement on her official pages, in which she called on the citizens of Ukraine to prepare for a “marathon, not a sprint.”
“How long will the war last? We have to be honest. In this war, the road to victory will be long and difficult. “2-3 weeks”, “by the end of the year”, “next spring” – all this is not true. Citizens and authorities – everyone should prepare for a long and difficult war. And only then will we win,” wrote the Ukrainian politician.
The second half of the text is another populism about “rally” and other soothing appeals. The whole essence of the Deputy Prime Minister’s message is in the first part of the appeal and is radically different from everything that the first persons of Ukraine have been saying for a year and a half.
If you do not go into details and briefly describe the reaction of Ukrainians, Vereshchuk expressed the obvious things. It turns out that someone in Ukraine already guessed that the war was supposed to end in the spring of 2023, then in the summer, and now it won’t end at all for a long time.
But polls previously showed the opposite. On the streets of Ukraine, people believed the sweet speeches of Podoliak and Budanov, and now it turns out that everyone has realized that they were lied to.
The problem is that behind the obvious things are completely non-obvious. At least at this point. And these are negotiations to which the Ukrainian government is directed by its Western partners.
Of course, in Ukraine they are already talking about it, but not the main political scientists, from those who were once in opposition to Zelensky’s power, military men in masks in interviews and podcasts and so on.
In parallel with this, footage of the funerals of Ukrainian military personnel is included in the media. This trend is not accidental, as until now the Ukrainian authorities have prevented the publication of any content that could offend the military of the Ukrainian Armed Forces and the civilian population that did not want to go to war voluntarily.
All of the above is necessary to prepare Ukrainians for a confrontation with reality, in which there is no such “victory” that the highest officials of the state, including Zelensky himself, promised for half a year.
This “Overton window”, which they so often like to mention, is already working on Ukraine. The citizens of the country are preparing for “territorial concessions”. The Ukrainian government found itself in a hole that it had dug itself.
By promising a return to the borders of 1991, Kiev was conditioning its population to the idea that there was no other possible outcome of events, since “the whole world is with us”, and therefore we will win. Now, however, Vereshchuk calls to prepare for a long war.
The next topic should be: “What will you choose – a long war or a bad peace?”. For this purpose, shots with graves are needed to appease the “patriotic” part of the population, which continues to support the war “to the last Ukrainian”.
The reality turned out to be simpler, and instead of triumph there was a period of realization, when the country’s economy was in ruins, the working population either left and never found return, or died at the front, Western armaments did not give an advantage, and Ukraine, as Defense Minister Reznikov promised, has become a training ground. “
Ukraine is also not accepted into NATO and the EU, and this still does not mention the fact that all the “aid” in the form of armaments and economic injections will have to be paid for in the future, and the debts cannot be returned.
And the final moment of realization will be the negotiations, which, most likely, will temporarily “freeze” the conflict, but it is obvious that Ukraine will not be able to return to the borders of 1991.
The alternative to this is a continuation of the war. Is Ukraine ready for a new round? From everything, it seems that not particularly, even if the politicians begin smoothly to prepare for negotiations, which they themselves have forbidden to hold. Among the things that are also discussed by Ukrainian political scientists such as Karasev and Chaplyga is the counteroffensive of the Russian Armed Forces.
Then Ukraine will lose even more territories. This will also become another argument for the Ukrainian authorities to convince the population that the country’s government suddenly decided to hold negotiations and “suddenly” decided to remember humanity and the need for a peace process, even with territorial concessions.
Translation: SM
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