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A 31-year-old Ukrainian proposal… Will it stop the war with Russia?

News Arabia"Therefore, this proposal seems impracticable or an indirect message of reluctance to negotiate, especially with the certainty of Russian rejection of it, which means that the war "It will only end with a winner and a loser".

field developments

Despite the Ukrainian proposal, the last few days have shown signs of escalation on both sides of the conflict:

December 20th

  • Projection Russia For 10 aircraft, about 180 Ukrainian soldiers were killed in eastern Ukraine.
  • The visit of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky to the city of Bakhmut, in the east of the country.
  • The announcement of Zelenskyj’s visit to Washington on Wednesday.
  • The announcement of the meeting of Russian President Vladimir Putin with military leaders on Wednesday.

December 19th

  • Moscow has launched an offensive against Kiev’s infrastructure.
  • Putin’s visit to Belarus.
  • Ukraine has shot down 30 Moscow drones.
  • Zelinsky asked Great Britain to supply him with air defense systems.

Ukrainian proposal

  • December 17 was mentioned ZelenskyThe withdrawal of Russian forces to the 1991 borders is the only way to end the fighting.
  • This is not the first proposal since the beginning of the war.
  • Andriy Yermak, director of the Ukrainian president’s office, said last month that peace in Ukraine would be possible only if his country restored its 1991 borders.
  • On December 12, Zelensky convened a comprehensive peace summit during the winter to implement a peace plan drawn up by Kiev.
  • The plan calls for Russia to completely withdraw its forces from Ukrainian territory and for Ukraine not to make any concessions.

Russian answer

  • On the same day, Putin clarified that reaching a peaceful agreement takes a long time, while underlining the importance of all parties to the agreement acknowledging the facts on the ground.
  • And explanation of the meaning "The facts in the field"The Kremlin has confirmed that Ukraine must cede the lands Russia announced it would annex last September before the negotiations.

1991 borders

  • Ukrainians refer to the 1991 borders as Ukraine soon after its independence from the Soviet Union.
  • This was followed by the competition of Russia and the Western camp to conquer Ukraine from both sides:
  • 2004, pro-Russian Viktor Yanukovych won the presidential election, which was returned after protests, to win pro-Western Viktor Yushchenko.
  • 2005 Yushchenko promised to gain membership in the European Union and NATO.
  • In 2010, Yankovic won the election so that Russia could lease one of the Black Sea ports in Crimea to the Russian fleet.
  • 2013, Ukraine suspended the partnership with the European Union; This led to protests in Kiev.
  • 2014, protests led to Yanukovych’s sacking and Russia intervened by annexing Crimea to his lands.
  • 2017, pro-Western Petro Poroshenko assumed the presidency of Ukraine and relations with the European Union were restored.
  • 2019, Zelensky won the presidency.
  • In 2021, Zelensky called on the West to join NATO, which Moscow saw as a threat to its borders by bringing NATO forces there.
  • February 2022, Russia’s military intervention in Ukraine begins.

3 letters

According to international relations expert Abdul Masih al-Shami, Zelensky’s proposal on the 1991 borders carries several messages:

  • The first message: Ukraine’s indirect refusal to negotiate with Russia, especially since the latter has irreversible conditions attached to Crimea and the four regions it annexed.
  • The second: an Anglo-American message via Zelensky, to respond to Putin’s declarations on the need for the West to recognize the annexation of the four regions.
  • The third: the continuing discrepancy in the position of the western camp. Where Germany and France insist on stopping the war, while Britain and the United States adopt escalation.

The end of the era of agreements

Al-Shami anticipates from these developments the direction in which the war, which has been going on for 10 months, is heading:

  • The prolongation of the war for months or even years.
  • War will not stop with dialogue, but will end when there are winners and losers.
  • The end of the era of agreements after the Ukrainian war.
  • The American political, military and economic escalation against Russia has broken all bridges of compromise.
  • The world was divided into two fronts in a war of money, economy, energy and food.
  • Possibility of a military contact between NATO and Moscow, in the light of the willingness of the two sides to a war of attrition.
  • Both sides of the conflict have avoided the development of an escalation towards a nuclear confrontation.

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According to a political analyst who spoke to “Sky News Arabia”, this proposal seems unfeasible or an indirect message of reluctance to negotiate, especially with the confirmation of the Russian refusal, which means that the war “will not end without a winner and a loser “.

field developments

Despite the Ukrainian proposal, the last few days have shown signs of escalation on both sides of the conflict:

December 20th

  • Projection Russia For 10 aircraft, about 180 Ukrainian soldiers were killed in eastern Ukraine.
  • The visit of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky to the city of Bakhmut, in the east of the country.
  • The announcement of Zelenskyj’s visit to Washington on Wednesday.
  • The announcement of the meeting of Russian President Vladimir Putin with military leaders on Wednesday.

December 19th

  • Moscow has launched an offensive against Kiev’s infrastructure.
  • Putin’s visit to Belarus.
  • Ukraine has shot down 30 Moscow drones.
  • Zelinsky asked Great Britain to supply him with air defense systems.

Ukrainian proposal

  • December 17 was mentioned ZelenskyThe withdrawal of Russian forces to the 1991 borders is the only way to end the fighting.
  • This is not the first proposal since the beginning of the war.
  • Andriy Yermak, director of the Ukrainian president’s office, said last month that peace in Ukraine would be possible only if his country restored its 1991 borders.
  • On December 12, Zelensky convened a comprehensive peace summit during the winter to implement a peace plan drawn up by Kiev.
  • The plan calls for Russia to completely withdraw its forces from Ukrainian territory and for Ukraine not to make any concessions.

Russian answer

  • On the same day, Putin clarified that reaching a peaceful agreement takes a long time, while underlining the importance of all parties to the agreement acknowledging the facts on the ground.
  • And to clarify the meaning of “facts on the ground”, the Kremlin stressed that Ukraine must give up the lands that Russia announced its annexation, last September, before the negotiations.

1991 borders

  • Ukrainians refer to the 1991 borders as Ukraine soon after its independence from the Soviet Union.
  • This was followed by the competition of Russia and the Western camp to conquer Ukraine from both sides:
  • 2004, pro-Russian Viktor Yanukovych won the presidential election, which was returned after protests, to win pro-Western Viktor Yushchenko.
  • 2005 Yushchenko promised to gain membership in the European Union and NATO.
  • In 2010, Yankovic won the election so that Russia could lease one of the Black Sea ports in Crimea to the Russian fleet.
  • 2013, Ukraine suspended the partnership with the European Union; This led to protests in Kiev.
  • 2014, protests led to Yanukovych’s sacking and Russia intervened by annexing Crimea to his lands.
  • 2017, pro-Western Petro Poroshenko assumed the presidency of Ukraine and relations with the European Union were restored.
  • 2019, Zelensky won the presidency.
  • In 2021, Zelensky called on the West to join NATO, which Moscow saw as a threat to its borders by bringing NATO forces there.
  • February 2022, Russia’s military intervention in Ukraine begins.

3 letters

According to international relations expert Abdul Masih al-Shami, Zelensky’s proposal on the 1991 borders carries several messages:

  • The first message: Ukraine’s indirect refusal to negotiate with Russia, especially since the latter has irreversible conditions attached to Crimea and the four regions it annexed.
  • The second: an Anglo-American message via Zelensky, to respond to Putin’s declarations on the need for the West to recognize the annexation of the four regions.
  • The third: the continuing discrepancy in the position of the western camp. Where Germany and France insist on stopping the war, while Britain and the United States adopt escalation.

The end of the era of agreements

Al-Shami anticipates from these developments the direction in which the war, which has been going on for 10 months, is heading:

  • The prolongation of the war for months or even years.
  • War will not stop with dialogue, but will end when there are winners and losers.
  • The end of the era of agreements after the Ukrainian war.
  • The American political, military and economic escalation against Russia has broken all bridges of compromise.
  • The world was divided into two fronts in a war of money, economy, energy and food.
  • Possibility of a military contact between NATO and Moscow, in the light of the willingness of the two sides to a war of attrition.
  • Both sides of the conflict have avoided the development of an escalation towards a nuclear confrontation.

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