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China-Russia Relations in 2025: A Strategic Evolution | Council on Foreign Relations

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<a href="https://www.britannica.com/place/China" title="China | Events, People, Dates, Flag, Map, & Facts | Britannica">China</a> and <a data-ail="6074577" target="_blank" href="https://www.world-today-news.com/tag/russia/" >Russia</a> Deepen Ties Amid <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-60506682" title="Ukraine in maps: Tracking the war with ... - BBC">Ukraine war</a>, Economic Ventures, and <a href="https://medium.com/@techboy7823/the-future-of-cctv-emerging-technologies-and-applications-f9ceeb43c9ca" title="The Future of CCTV: Emerging Technologies and Applications">Surveillance</a>
China and russia are strengthening ties through diplomatic meetings, economic cooperation, and joint military activities. Recent discussions address the Ukraine conflict, economic partnerships, and surveillance operations near Japan.">
China, Russia, Ukraine, G20, BRICS, Xi Jinping, Vladimir putin, Sergey Lavrov, Wang Yi, economic cooperation, surveillance, military cooperation, Japan, drone production, peace talks"> china-russia-ties"> China and russia Deepen ties Amid Ukraine War, Economic Ventures, and Surveillance">
China and Russia are strengthening ties through diplomatic meetings, economic cooperation, and joint military activities. Recent discussions address the Ukraine conflict, economic partnerships, and surveillance operations near Japan.">
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China and Russia Deepen Ties Amid Ukraine War, Economic Ventures, and Surveillance

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The relationship between China and Russia is intensifying, encompassing diplomatic engagements, economic partnerships, and military cooperation. Recent interactions between high-ranking officials and strategic maneuvers in international forums underscore the evolving dynamics between the two nations. From addressing the conflict in Ukraine too engaging in joint ventures and surveillance activities, the scope of their collaboration is extensive and multifaceted.

On Feb. 20,Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi convened during the Group of Twenty (G20) Foreign Ministers’ Meeting. According to a Russian press release, their discussions encompassed the Asia-Pacific and Middle East regions, the war in Ukraine, and relations with the United States.They also addressed building “an equal dialog between representatives of the Global Majority and the West in the financial and economic sphere” within the G20 framework. Moreover, they touched upon their cooperation in the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation and BRICS.

Deepening Diplomatic Ties

The strengthening bond between China and Russia was further emphasized during a video call between Chinese President Xi Jinping and Russian President vladimir Putin on Feb.24. Xi Jinping described the two countries as “true friends who have been through thick and thin together.” he emphasized that both history and present-day relations demonstrate a strong commitment to each othre.

the Kremlin released a statement supporting this narrative, emphasizing that together, they serve as a stabilizing force. This marked the second call between the two leaders in just over a month. TASS, a Russian news outlet, reported that Xi Jinping is scheduled to attend the celebration of the eightieth anniversary of the Soviet Union’s World War II victory on may 9 in Moscow.

On Feb. 24, during a China Central Television broadcast, Xi jinping stated that “China is pleased to see that Russia and relevant parties have made positive efforts to resolve the crisis.” The Kremlin also stated that China voiced support for the U.S.-russia dialogue.

China’s Diplomatic Engagement with Europe

Despite the close ties with Russia, China has also been actively engaging in diplomatic efforts with Europe. On Feb. 17, Voice of America reported that China had initiated increased diplomatic activities with Europe. at the Munich Security Conference,wang Yi spoke with European officials,including European Commission Vice President Kaja Kallas,German Chancellor Olaf Scholz,and NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte.

Wang Yi stated,“There is no fundamental conflict of interest or geopolitical conflicts between China and the EU,” and reiterated China’s interest in peace negotiations regarding the war in Ukraine. Kaja Kallas urged China to stop “exporting dual-use items” to Russia but expressed interest in furthering cooperation on trade, climate change, and the economy.

Economic Cooperation and Ventures

Economic cooperation between China and Russia continues, albeit with some shifts in trade dynamics. On Feb.13, Reuters reported that China has reduced its seaborne imports of Russian crude oil, decreasing from an average of 1.05 million barrels per day (bpd) in the past three months to approximately 500,000 bpd. China is reportedly seeking to diversify its imports from other sources,including Angola and Brazil.

Moreover, russia’s Nornickel, a major producer of nickel and palladium, is pursuing a joint venture in China. The company’s vice president stated, “We are currently in active negotiations with our Chinese partners, so we cannot disclose the details yet. though, we are including the relevant funds in our financial models for 2025–2026.” According to Reuters, this cooperation could involve Chinese conglomerate Xiamen C&D refining Nornickel’s copper raw materials into metal. While Nornickel has not been directly sanctioned, it has faced challenges

Unraveling the Sino-Russian Partnership: A Deep Dive into Geopolitics, Economics, and Military Collaboration

is the strengthening relationship between China and Russia a purely opportunistic alliance born out of the Ukraine conflict, or a deeper, more enduring strategic partnership with far-reaching global implications?

Dr. Anya Petrova, Expert in International Relations and eurasian Geopolitics: That’s a crucial question, and the answer isn’t simple. while the Ukraine war has undoubtedly accelerated the convergence of interests between Beijing and Moscow, their partnership is rooted in a much longer history of shared strategic goals and economic interdependence. It’s not merely opportunistic; it’s a multifaceted strategic alignment that encompasses political, economic, and military dimensions with significant global consequences. The present situation is undoubtedly accelerating their cooperation particularly in spheres like energy and security.

The Geopolitical Chessboard: Redefining Global power Dynamics

The recent diplomatic flurry involving high-level meetings between Chinese and Russian officials—including those at the G20—seems to signal a concerted effort to reshape the global order. Can you elaborate on this assertion?

The meetings between high-ranking officials like Sergey Lavrov and Wang Yi at the G20, and the close interaction between presidents Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin, are not coincidental. These interactions represent a deliberate attempt by China and Russia to bolster their influence on the world stage and challenge the existing Western-dominated international system. They are actively seeking to create alternative mechanisms for global governance, evidenced by increased cooperation within platforms like BRICS and the Shanghai cooperation Organisation (SCO). The goal is to present a united front, offering an alternative voice to Western initiatives and promoting a multipolar world order. Key initiatives focus on economic cooperation and offering a different paradigm for international relations.

Economic Intertwining: Beyond Energy and Raw Materials

While energy trade,especially the flow of Russian crude oil to China,has been a significant aspect of their economic relationship,is the economic partnership solely focused on resource exchange?

While energy certainly plays a substantial role,the economic relationship is far more nuanced than simply oil and gas. There is a growing diversification within trade and investment,extending into high-tech sectors,infrastructure progress,and joint ventures. For example, the collaboration between Nornickel, a major Russian mining company, and chinese partners points to a broader trend of expanding economic links. The focus is no longer limited to raw materials; both nations are pursuing industrial synergies and technological collaborations. This multifaceted economic interdependence is a crucial pillar of their strategic partnership, helping to insulate them from Western sanctions and bolster their mutual economic security.

Military Cooperation: Implications for regional and Global Stability

The mention of “surveillance operations near Japan” raises concerns about the implications of increasing military cooperation between China and Russia. How might this affect regional and global security dynamics?

The deepening military cooperation between China and Russia isn’t just about shared military exercises; it represents a growing interoperability and strategic convergence in their approaches to regional security. This can affect the balance of power, particularly in the asia-Pacific, causing anxieties among neighbouring states.Joint military exercises and technological sharing can raise concerns about regional stability and the potential for escalation. The enhanced military capabilities contribute to a changing international security paradigm, requiring a careful and considered evaluation by othre global stakeholders. Advanced military technologies are included in these cooperation initiatives,causing concerns for regional allies.

China’s Balancing Act: Engagement with Europe and Russia

China’s active engagement with European countries, despite its close ties with Russia, suggests a nuanced approach to diplomacy. How does this apparent paradox fit into the larger geopolitical narrative?

This highlights China’s careful balancing act. Beijing seeks to maintain strong relationships with Russia while avoiding complete alienation from the European Union. This engagement serves multiple purposes. It allows for economic cooperation with the EU, reduces reliance on any single bloc, and maintains open channels for dialog, possibly providing pathways for conflict resolution concerning the Ukraine conflict. China’s policy aims to achieve a multipolar world, with enhanced influence and less dependency on any current single superpower.

Key Takeaways & Future Outlook

Strategic Partnership, Not Just an opportunistic Alliance: The china-Russia partnership is deeply rooted in shared interests spanning decades. The Ukraine conflict is accelerating certain aspects, including economic collaboration and military cooperation.

Multifaceted Economic Ties: Joint ventures extend beyond energy resources, impacting technology, infrastructure, and manufacturing, creating significant economic interdependence.

Shifting Global Power Dynamics: The China-Russia alliance is actively reshaping the global order, challenging the established Western-centric system and seeking to establish alternative forms of global governance.

Regional Security Concerns: Close military cooperation raises potential regional and global security concerns,particularly in the Asia-Pacific region,prompting careful consideration by other international actors.

* strategic Balancing: China attempts to balance its relationship with Russia and its economic and diplomatic relationships with the European Union to increase its global influence and lessen dependency on any single superpower.

The deepening relationship between China and Russia is a development with profound and far-reaching implications for global politics, economics, and security. We invite your comments and thoughts on this evolving dynamic.

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