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- New york Times (2025/02/05)
– A plan to take over gaza and force Palestinians to relocate would violate international law. By Zolan Kanno-youngs and Erika Solomon.- URL: nytimes.com
- CNN (2025/01/27)
- President Donald TrumpS proposal to “clean out” the gaza Strip by moving more then a million Palestinians to neighboring countries has drawn sharp criticism, with opponents condemning it.
– URL: cnn.com
- Associated Press (AP) (2025)
– President Donald Trump’s stunning proposal to forcibly transfer hundreds of thousands of Palestinians out of the Gaza Strip and develop it as a tourist destination faces major obstacles.
– The Palestinians and many others view such plans as an attempt to drive them from their homeland after israel’s 15-month offensive against Hamas rendered much of it uninhabitable.- URL: apnews.com
Additional context from the provided text:
- Egypt and Jordan depend heavily on huge levels of US aid and trade.
- jordan accepted large numbers of displaced Palestinians in 1948 and 1967.
- A large proportion of Jordan’s population is of Palestinian origin.
- Katrina Sammour, an independent analyst, stated that such a plan would be a repeat trauma for an already traumatized people, with the Nakba (the displacement of 1948) still fresh in collective memory.
Jordan’s red Line: Admitting Palestinians Could Trigger Regional Crisis
Table of Contents
Amman, Jordan – The issue of admitting Palestinians has become a politically sensitive and potentially destabilizing factor for Jordan. Jordanian officials have drawn a clear line in the sand, warning that any attempt to displace Palestinians from the occupied West Bank and force them into Jordan would be seen as a “declaration of war.”
Historically, the Palestinian presence in Jordan has been a contentious issue. In 1970, armed factions of the Palestinian Liberation organisation (PLO) nearly overthrew King Hussein’s regime. Although such an event is unlikely today, the memories of that period remain fresh in the collective consciousness of Jordanians.
The Gaza Factor
The situation in Gaza has added another layer of complexity.jordanian officials fear that developments in Gaza could pave the way for Israel’s annexation of the West bank. This concern is rooted in the potential demographic shifts and the broader geopolitical implications.
Demographic and Political Tensions
Alia Brahimi, a regional expert at the Atlantic Council, highlighted the dual challenges Jordan faces. “The questions of who counts as Jordanian and what it means to be Jordanian are highly combustible,” she said. “So there’s the demographic issue, but also the fact that Trump is drawing attention to King abdullah’s ties to israel and his alliance with and dependence on the US.Both matters have the very real potential to destabilise the Jordanian monarchy.”
Ancient Context and Current Concerns
Jordan’s historical ties to the Palestinian issue are deep and complex. The country has long been a haven for Palestinians, and any meaningful shift in this dynamic could have profound implications. The carnegie Endowment has noted that Jordan views any attempt to force Palestinians into its borders as a red line that, if crossed, would have severe consequences.
Regional Implications
The potential destabilization of Jordan could have far-reaching implications for the entire Middle East. The country’s strategic location and its role as a key U.S. ally make it a critical player in the region’s geopolitical landscape. Any instability could thus ripple through the broader Middle East, affecting regional security and stability.
Summary of Key Points
| Key Point | Description |
|————————————————-|—————————————————————————–|
| Historical Context | The 1970 near-overthrow of King Hussein by PLO factions remains a sensitive issue. |
| Gaza Factor | Developments in Gaza could lead to West Bank annexation by Israel. |
| Demographic and Political Tensions | Questions of Jordanian identity and King abdullah’s ties to Israel are contentious. |
| Red Line | Any attempt to displace Palestinians into Jordan seen as a declaration of war. |
| Regional Implications | Instability in Jordan could affect broader Middle East security and stability. |
Conclusion
Jordan’s stance on admitting Palestinians is a delicate balance of historical memory, current geopolitical realities, and demographic concerns. The country’s officials have made it clear that any attempt to force Palestinians into Jordan will be met with strong resistance, potentially leading to significant regional instability. As the situation in Gaza and the West Bank continues to evolve, Jordan remains vigilant, guarding against any moves that could threaten its stability and security.
For more insights into the complex dynamics of the Middle East, visit The Guardian and Carnegie Endowment.The text discusses the practical and security concerns surrounding a proposed plan, likely related to the israeli-Palestinian conflict, and its potential impact on Jordan and Egypt. Here are the key points:
- Jordan’s Concerns:
– The Jordanian economy is already strained due to the war, and public services are overburdened.
- Security services are struggling to contain Islamist extremists, and there is a surge in support for moderate Islamists.
– The proposed plan would require years of readiness and could become a security nightmare.
– Jordan might be seen as betraying the Palestinian cause.
- Egypt’s Concerns:
– Egypt has refused to allow Palestinians from Gaza to flee into its territory during the war, fearing a massive and destabilizing influx.
– There are concerns about militants operating from Egyptian soil, which could endanger Egypt’s peace treaty with Israel and embolden local militant groups.
– Egypt’s economy is already struggling, and accommodating a large number of refugees would come with significant economic costs.
– There are fears that new instability could lead to another mass protest movement, similar to the 2011 uprising.
- Political Concerns:
– Both Jordan and Egypt’s leaders might face political calamity if seen as complicit in the “ethnic cleansing of Palestine.”
– U.S. President Trump believes that the leaders of Jordan and Egypt will eventually support his proposal.
The text suggests that while Trump is optimistic about the plan, both Jordan and Egypt have serious reservations due to security, economic, and political concerns.
Interview: JordanS Stance on Palestinian Admission and the implications
Editor: In the wake of recent geopolitical developments, Jordan has drawn a firm line regarding the admission of Palestinians.Can you shed light on the historical context and current concerns surrounding this issue?
Guest: Certainly. Jordan has a long history with the Palestinian issue. After the 1948 and 1967 displacements,Jordan accepted a large number of Palestinian refugees. Today,a significant proportion of Jordan’s population is of Palestinian origin. This historical context is crucial in understanding Jordan’s current stance. The memory of the Nakba, or the displacement of 1948, is still fresh in the collective memory of both Jordanians and Palestinians. Any attempt to displace Palestinians from the West Bank and force them into Jordan would be seen as a grave threat, even a ”declaration of war.”
Editor: How does the situation in Gaza complicate this issue?
Guest: The situation in Gaza adds another layer of complexity. Jordanian officials fear that developments in Gaza could pave the way for Israel’s annexation of the West Bank. If this were to happen, accommodating a large number of additional refugees would come with significant economic costs. There are also fears that new instability could led to another mass protest movement, similar to the 2011 uprising. this further exacerbates the already sensitive political climate in Jordan.
Editor: What are the political concerns that Jordan and Egypt face in this context?
Guest: Both Jordan and Egypt’s leaders face political calamity if seen as complicit in what some term the “ethnic cleansing of Palestine.” This is a highly sensitive issue that could lead to domestic unrest and international condemnation. despite U.S. President Trump’s optimism that leaders of Jordan and Egypt will eventually support his proposal, these concerns remain significant barriers to any such support.
Editor: How does the economic impact play into Jordan’s stance?
Guest: The economic impact is substantial. Jordan already depends heavily on US aid and trade. Accepting a large influx of Palestinian refugees would strain Jordan’s already limited resources. This economic burden, coupled with the potential for social unrest, makes the issue a critical concern for Jordanian officials.
Editor: How do you see this situation unfolding in the near future?
Guest: The situation is highly volatile and depends on multiple factors.While the U.S. and Israel might push for solutions that involve the relocation of Palestinians, Jordan and Egypt will likely continue to resist due to the aforementioned security, economic, and political concerns. The international community will play a crucial role in mediating these tensions and finding a solution that respects the rights and sovereignty of all parties involved.
Conclusion: The issue of admitting Palestinians into Jordan is a complex and sensitive one,rooted in historical trauma and current political and economic realities. Jordan’s firm stance reflects its deep-seated concerns about the potential destabilizing effects on its own society and regional stability. The international community must address these concerns with care and diplomacy to navigate this delicate situation.
