Two years into the large-scale war in Ukraine, the tide of Western support appears to be waning. New aid commitments from August 2023 to January 2024 have fallen compared to the same period the previous year, according to a February 2024 report from the Kiel Institute. This trend could persist, as evidenced by the American senate’s struggle to pass new aid packages and the European union’s recent difficulty in securing a €50 billion aid package due to Hungary’s opposition. It’s important to note that these two aid packages are not yet reflected in the Kiel Institute’s latest assessment, which covers data up to January 2024.
the Kiel Institute’s data reveals a shrinking pool of donors, with support concentrated among a core group of countries: the United States, Germany, and nations in Northern and Eastern Europe. These countries are pledging both substantial financial aid and advanced weaponry. In total, since February 2022, countries supporting Ukraine have committed at least €276 billion in military, financial, and humanitarian assistance.
in absolute terms, the wealthiest nations have been the most generous. The United States leads the pack by far, having pledged over €75 billion in aid, including €46.3 billion in military support. European union countries have announced both bilateral aid (€64.86 billion) and joint aid from EU funds (€93.25 billion), totaling €158.1 billion.
However, when aid contributions are measured as a percentage of each donor country’s gross domestic product (GDP), the rankings shift. The United States falls to twentieth place (0.32% of its GDP), trailing behind countries bordering Ukraine or former Soviet republics. Estonia takes the lead in aid relative to GDP with 3.55%, followed by denmark (2.41%) and Norway (1.72%). Lithuania (1.54%) and Latvia (1.15%) round out the top five. The three Baltic states,all sharing borders with Russia or its ally Belarus,have consistently been among the most generous donors since the conflict began.
“The number of donors is decreasing and is concentrated around a core of countries: the United States, Germany, the countries of northern and eastern Europe, which promise both high financial aid and advanced weaponry,” the report states.
In the percentage of GDP ranking, France sits at twenty-seventh, having committed 0.07% of its GDP, just behind Greece (0.09%).French aid has been steadily declining as Russia’s invasion of ukraine – France ranked twenty-fourth in April 2023 and thirteenth in the summer of 2022.
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