2024. november 28. – 16:17
The governing parties continue to have the highest social support Szadvég’s November party preference surveys according to – the research institute close to Fidesz told MTI on Thursday. Compared to their survey at the end of October, however, it can be seen that, despite this, Századvég also saw a weakening in the support of the governing parties.
According to the November results, the Fidesz-KDNP ranks at 38 percent among voters who are politically active, certain or likely to participate in the election – Századvég still measured 40 percent for the ruling party in October. The Tisza Party currently follows with 32 percent, this number was 31 percent in October.
The Hungarian Kétfarkú Kutya Párt (MKKP) took third place with 9 percent, while Mi Hazánk maintained its stable 6 percent, which was also measured in October. According to Századvég, the support of the Democratic Coalition is currently at the 5 percent entry threshold, while Momentum and MSZP remain below that threshold with 2 and 1 percent. The proportion of those who are unsure and refuse to answer is 6 percent.
Regarding the preferences of active party voters, the government parties are currently at 40 percent, while the Tisza Party is at 35 percent, which also shows the convergence of the two parties, when compared with the results of 43 and 34 percent researched in October.
Századvég collected the data between November 14 and November 19, and conducted the research among the politically active, adult Hungarian population by interviewing a thousand adults.
Just on Thursday, before the publication of Századvég’s research, a recent survey by Median came out, according to which the Tisza Party already stands at 47 percent among sure party voters, while Fidesz only has 36 percent. We spoke with political analyst Zoltán Lakner on the Telex broadcast about how much this means a real, 11 percent Tisza advantage.
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## Hungary’s Political Race Tightens: Fidesz-KDNP See Support Erode in latest Polls
Hungary’s political landscape is experiencing a noticeable shift as recent polls indicate a shrinking lead for teh governing fidesz-KDNP alliance. A new survey by Századvég, a research institute, shows the ruling party’s support ticking down while the opposition party, the Tisza Party, is gaining ground.
To analyze these developments and their implications for the upcoming elections, we sat down wiht **Dr. Zoltán Lakner**, a prominent Hungarian political analyst and regular contributor to Telex, a leading news outlet. Dr. Lakner has extensive experience in analyzing Hungarian politics and public opinion.
This interview will delve into the recent poll findings, explore the potential reasons behind these shifts, and discuss what these trends might mean for the upcoming election.
###Századvég vs. Median: Diverging Results?
The latest Századvég poll, conducted between November 14th and 19th, suggests that Fidesz-KDNP retains the lead with 38% support among active voters, followed closely by the Tisza Party at 32%. however, these figures represent a decline for Fidesz-KDNP from their 40% in October. In contrast,a recent Median poll paints a different picture,showing the Tisza Party surpassing Fidesz-KDNP with a 47% to 36% lead among sure voters.
**Dr. Lakner, what are your thoughts on these seemingly contradictory poll findings?**
“It’s crucial to consider the methodologies and target demographics of each survey. Századvég and Median employ different sampling techniques and may focus on slightly different segments of the electorate. The methodologies are crucial when interpreting these data. discrepancies can arise due to variations in sample size,respondent selection,and question wording. “
### The Erosion of Fidesz-KDNP Support
the Századvég poll indicates a continued decline in support for the Fidesz-KDNP alliance. Can you offer insights into the potential factors contributing to this trend?
“Several factors could be at play. The cost-of-living crisis is undoubtedly a prominent concern for many Hungarians,and the government’s handling of economic issues might potentially be impacting voters’ perceptions. Additionally,fatigue with the long tenure of the Fidesz-KDNP government could be contributing to a desire for change among some segments of the electorate. “
### The Rise of the Tisza Party
The Tisza Party’s surge in support has been a noticeable trend in recent polls. How do you explain their growing popularity, and what does it mean for the political landscape?
“The Tisza Party has successfully positioned itself as a viable choice to both the ruling Fidesz-KDNP and the customary opposition parties. They’ve tapped into a sense of dissatisfaction with the status quo and offered a message that resonates with voters seeking change.
**dr. Lakner, what are your predictions for the upcoming elections based on these trends?**
“The race is undoubtedly tightening. The Tisza Party’s momentum is undeniable, and the Fidesz-KDNP alliance faces a real challenge. However, it’s still too early to definitively predict the outcome. The next few months will likely be characterized by intense campaigning and potentially unexpected developments.
**Key Takeaways:**
Hungary’s political landscape is in flux, with the Fidesz-KDNP’s dominance facing a serious challenge from the rising Tisza Party.
**What are your thoughts on these political developments? Share your insights in the comments below.
For further reading on Hungarian politics, check out our articles on the upcoming elections and the rise of populism in Europe.
