2024. november 28. – 16:17
The governing parties continue to have the highest social support Szadvég’s November party preference surveys according to – the research institute close to Fidesz told MTI on Thursday. Compared to their survey at the end of October, however, it can be seen that, despite this, Századvég also saw a weakening in the support of the governing parties.
According to the November results, the Fidesz-KDNP ranks at 38 percent among voters who are politically active, certain or likely to participate in the election – Századvég still measured 40 percent for the ruling party in October. The Tisza Party currently follows with 32 percent, this number was 31 percent in October.
The Hungarian Kétfarkú Kutya Párt (MKKP) took third place with 9 percent, while Mi Hazánk maintained its stable 6 percent, which was also measured in October. According to Századvég, the support of the Democratic Coalition is currently at the 5 percent entry threshold, while Momentum and MSZP remain below that threshold with 2 and 1 percent. The proportion of those who are unsure and refuse to answer is 6 percent.
Regarding the preferences of active party voters, the government parties are currently at 40 percent, while the Tisza Party is at 35 percent, which also shows the convergence of the two parties, when compared with the results of 43 and 34 percent researched in October.
Századvég collected the data between November 14 and November 19, and conducted the research among the politically active, adult Hungarian population by interviewing a thousand adults.
Just on Thursday, before the publication of Századvég’s research, a recent survey by Median came out, according to which the Tisza Party already stands at 47 percent among sure party voters, while Fidesz only has 36 percent. We spoke with political analyst Zoltán Lakner on the Telex broadcast about how much this means a real, 11 percent Tisza advantage.
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## tightening Race: Fidesz-KDNP Lead Narrows in Latest Hungarian Poll
**Budapest, Hungary** – Hungary’s political landscape is witnessing a shifting tide as the latest polling data reveals a narrowing gap between the ruling Fidesz-KDNP coalition and the opposition tisza Party.
Recent surveys by both Századvég, a research institute with connections to Fidesz, and Median, an independent pollster, paint a picture of a increasingly competitive race ahead of the upcoming elections. While Fidesz-KDNP still holds a lead among politically active voters, the margin has shrunk considerably, with the Tisza Party making important gains.
To unpack these findings and their potential implications for hungary’s political future, we spoke with renowned political analyst Dr.Zoltán Lakner, a senior research fellow at the Danube Institute.
### Fidesz-KDNP’s Slipping Lead
**world Today News:** Dr. Lakner, recent polls show a decrease in support for Fidesz-KDNP. How significant is this trend, and what factors might be contributing to it?
**Dr. Zoltán Lakner:** this trend is certainly noteworthy,reflecting a broader shift in Hungarian public opinion. While Fidesz-KDNP remains the most popular political force, their grip on the electorate is loosening. Several factors could be at play, including economic challenges, fatigue with long-term incumbency, and the emergence of a strong opposition challenger in the Tisza Party.
**World Today News:** Századvég reported a 2% drop in support for Fidesz-KDNP compared to their October survey, while the Tisza Party gained 1%. How reliable are these polls in assessing the true political landscape?
**Dr. Zoltán Lakner:** All polls provide a snapshot of public opinion at a specific moment in time. It’s crucial to consider the methodology, sample size, and potential biases. Both Századvég and Median have reputable track records, but their methodologies differ. Comparing their findings can provide a more nuanced picture.
### The Rise of the Tisza Party
**World Today News:** The Tisza Party has emerged as a formidable challenger to Fidesz-KDNP. What are the key reasons behind their rise in popularity?
**Dr. Zoltán Lakner:** The Tisza Party has successfully tapped into a desire for fresh leadership and a departure from the status quo. They’ve effectively positioned themselves as a moderate choice, appealing to voters who may be dissatisfied with both the ruling party and more radical opposition options.
**World Today News:** Median’s poll shows a more significant lead for the Tisza Party among sure party voters.
Can we consider this an accurate prediction of the upcoming election outcome?
**Dr. Zoltán lakner:** while median’s poll paints an interesting picture, it’s still early days. Elections are fluid events, and multiple factors can influence voter behavior. Though, the growing support for the Tisza Party undeniably poses a serious challenge to Fidesz-KDNP.
### Implications for the 2024 Elections
**World Today news:** What are the potential implications of this tightening race for the upcoming elections?
**Dr. Zoltán Lakner:** This narrowing gap sets the stage for a highly competitive election campaign. We can expect to see both Fidesz-KDNP and the tisza Party vying for undecided voters, emphasizing their respective strengths and contrasting their visions for Hungary.
**World Today News:** What advice would you give to Hungarian voters as they navigate this complex political landscape?
**Dr. Zoltán Lakner:** It’s crucial for voters to be informed and engaged. Research the different parties, their platforms, and their track records. Analyze their proposals critically and consider the long-term implications of their policies. Ultimately, the decision of who governs Hungary rests in the hands of its citizens.
The narrowing gap between Fidesz-KDNP and the Tisza Party underscores the dynamic nature of Hungarian politics. As the 2024 elections draw closer, voters will have a pivotal role in shaping the future of their nation.
**What are your thoughts on the shifting political landscape in Hungary? Share your insights in the comments below!
Explore further:**
– [Századvég’s November party preference survey](https://szazadveg.hu/cikkek/orzi-vezeto-szerepet-a-fidesz-kdnp/)
– [Median’s recent poll](Link to Median’s Poll – Please Insert)
– [More World Today News articles on Hungarian politics](https://world-today-news.com/category/hungary/)
