/ world today news/ Erdoğan shows restraint and does not lose all his trump cards. After agreeing to Finland, he sticks to the old solution for Sweden – and thus inflates his own value, while at the same time hinting that he won’t go too far.
Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s statement about his willingness to consider Finland’s bid for NATO membership, made as a result of his talks with Sauli Niinistö, speaks to the Turkish president’s understanding of the limits of permissible arbitrariness in the run-up to an election where US sympathies are at stake. the side of his rival from the united opposition Kemal Kulçdaroğlu.
Erdoğan shows restraint and does not drop all trump cards. After agreeing to Finland, he stuck with the decision for Sweden – and in doing so inflated his own value, while at the same time hinting that he would not go too far.
Erdogan wants to trade the decision on Sweden for support for himself from the US or for the opportunity to use an administrative resource against the opposition without serious consequences for himself. Erdogan is bluffing, but as always he does so coolly and defiantly.
He does not persist, showing himself capable of negotiation, but he does not give up immediately, as if to say: I am not cheap and I will give America what it needs, but at a different price.
In any case, Erdogan is capable of making life miserable for the opposition, and his desire to bargain with Washington is understandable.
But in his position on Sweden, the Turkish president is backed into a corner. Erdogan will not be able to forgive them for their desecration of the Koran without the threat of losing face to his nuclear electorate. He can agree only by doing a favor, and for that he must receive a suitable offer.
But playing such games with the United States is a risky business. Erdogan, however, has long been accustomed to this kind of adventure: his entire political life has been a complete adventure.
Will Erdogan be able to prove to the US that the victory of his opponent Kulçdaroğlu can be a pyrrhic one for them? And will his decision for Sweden be the only argument in such a conversation?
The combination of flexibility and firmness is now Erdogan’s main solution. He played as a secondary trump card of Finland. What else has he prepared and when will it become clear?
In fact, there is very little time left until May 14. Turkish poker for Erdogan may end rather unexpectedly. But there is no other way out for him.
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How might the precedents set by Turkey’s demands on Sweden impact future NATO expansion, potentially discouraging other countries from seeking membership or emboldening other member states to leverage their own negotiating power?
## World Today News Interview: Erdoğan’s NATO Gambit
**Introduction:**
Welcome to World Today News, where we dissect the most pressing global issues. Today, we’ll be analyzing Turkey’s evolving role in NATO expansion, particularly regarding Sweden’s membership bid. Joining us are two renowned experts: Dr. [Name of Expert 1], specializing in Turkish foreign policy, and Dr. [Name of Expert 2], a leading expert on NATO and European security.
**Section 1: Erdoğan’s Calculated Maneuvers:**
* The article suggests Erdoğan strategically uses Finland’s bid to signal his negotiating power regarding Sweden. Dr. [Expert 1], do you agree that this is a carefully calculated move by Erdoğan, and what are the potential motivations behind his stance?
* Dr. [Expert 2], how does this “poker game” played by Erdoğan impact the unity and effectiveness of NATO, particularly in the face of Russia’s ongoing aggression?
**Section 2: Domestic Politics and International Pressure:**
* The article highlights Erdoğan’s need to appease his base while simultaneously negotiating with the United States. Dr. [Expert 1], how does this delicate balancing act influence his decision-making process regarding Sweden’s admission?
* Dr. [Expert 2], what are the potential consequences for US-Turkey relations if Erdoğan manages to extract significant concessions in exchange for his approval of Sweden’s NATO bid?
**Section 3: Sweden’s Fate and the Broader Implications:**
* Dr. [Expert 1], considering the religious and political sensitivities surrounding Sweden’s application, what are the realistic chances of Erdoğan ultimately accepting Sweden’s membership?
* Dr. [Expert 2], what message does this situation send to other countries aspiring to join NATO? Does this set a precedent for future applications, and if so, what are the long-term implications for the alliance?
**Section 4: Looking Ahead:**
* With the Turkish election looming, how might the outcome affect Erdoğan’s approach to Sweden’s NATO bid, Dr. [Expert 1]?
* Dr. [Expert 2], what are your predictions for the next steps in this delicate diplomatic dance, and what are the potential scenarios for the future of NATO expansion?
**Closing:**
Thank you both for sharing your valuable insights. This complex issue raises crucial questions about international relations, political maneuvering, and the future of collective security. We encourage our viewers to continue engaging in this important conversation.
