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Envisioning the Sudanese War: Conflict, Control and Transition

The war in Sudan has lasted almost two years, and the people of Sudan are still suffering a lot.

Millions have been forced to flee their homes, hundreds of thousands have been killed and countless others are starving or tortured as two powerful military rivals divide the country in a “battle for to live” is called.

April 15, 2023 A long-running feud between Sudanese Army Chief Abdel Fattah al-Burhan and the leader of the Rapid Aid Forces paramilitary group Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo (Hemeti) Eventually war breaks out and Sudan is embroiled in conflict .

Almost 9,000 attacks have been recorded

According to data from the crisis mapping group Armed Conflict Location and Incident Database Project (ACLED), between April 15, 2023 and October 25, 2024, a total of 8,942 attacks were carried out by the warring parties, an average of 16 per day.

Geographically, three-quarters of the attacks were concentrated in three main areas:

Khartoum

More than half of the attacks (4,858, or 54% of the recorded attacks) took place near the capital, Khartoum.

Sudanese forces have launched a major offensive there in recent months to retake areas captured by the Rapid Support Forces at the start of the conflict.

Gezira region

Gezira, an agricultural center south of Khartoum in Sudan, has seen 1,077 attacks, accounting for about 12% of recorded incidents.

north darfur

Darfur is a western region divided into five states, and the people have long suffered from internal conflict. In North Darfur, at least 818 attacks took place, accounting for 9% of all recorded attacks.

The rest of Sudan

The remaining 25% of the fighting was spread across the country, including South Darfur (361 attacks), North Kordofan (335 attacks) and West Darfur (269 attacks).

The map below indicates the location of these attacks.

sudan war
Mapping attacks in Sudan
Between April 15, 2023, and October 25, 2024, a total of 8,942 attacks were carried out by the warring parties. (Al Jazeera)

tens of thousands of lives lost

According to the Armed Conflict Location and Incident Database Project, at least 24,000 people have died across Sudan, but the actual death toll is likely to be much higher, especially when there are indirect deaths such as the spread of disease. , malnutrition and lack of adequate medical care. are noted.

About a third of the deaths occurred in Khartoum, which has the highest casualty rate.

This is followed by West Darfur with 17% and North Darfur with 15%, showing the severity of the violence in these regions.

fire

According to the Armed Conflict Location and Incident Database Project, Sudanese forces carried out a total of 4,805 attacks, accounting for 54% of all reported attacks.

Rapid Support Forces made a total of 3,069 raids, making up 34% of the total number of raids recorded.

The remaining 1,068 (12%) attacks were also carried out by other groups such as Darfur community militias, Darfur Arab militias, Sudan People’s Liberation Movement, and Twek tribal militias.

attack timeline

After months of tension, on April 15, 2023, heavy gunfire and explosions began in Khartoum, a city with a population of 10 million.

Gunfire was heard near the military and defense ministry headquarters, the presidential palace and Khartoum International Airport.

Envisioning the Sudanese War: Conflict, Control and TransitionLatest news: heavy gunfire in Sudan’s capital, Khartoum

By the end of August 2023, the intensity of attacks was at its highest, with a total of 675 attacks recorded.

That month, the United Nations reported that 1 million people had fled the country and that the number of internally displaced people exceeded 3.4 million.

After a brief decrease in attacks, violence increased again in January 2024.

At the time, the United Nations reported that the war had displaced 8 million people as famine ravaged the country.

On September 26, 2024, the Sudanese army carried out an air strike on Rapid Support Forces positions in the capital, the largest attack in months.

sudan war
Schedule of attacks by parties to the conflict
A total of 4,805 attacks were carried out by the Sudanese army, 3,069 by the Rapid Support Forces, and the remaining 1,068 were carried out by other parties. (Al Jazeera)

Which areas of Sudan are controlled by which party?

The conflict in Sudan has divided Africa’s third largest country, mainly between the Sudanese army, the Sudanese Rapid Support Forces and several smaller armed groups.

The Rapid Support Forces, whose power base is in Darfur, have largely driven government forces out of the region and taken control of much of the region.

The exception is El Fasher, the capital of North Darfur state, which is still under the control of former rebels.

Meanwhile, the two sides continue to fight for Khartoum, with the army controlling several strategic locations north of the capital and nearby, including the White Nile states. , Blue Nile and Gadarif.

sudan war
Which areas of Sudan are controlled by which party?
Control of Sudan is mainly divided between the Sudanese army and the Rapid Support Forces. (Al Jazeera)

14 million people were displaced

The United Nations has warned that Sudan is facing the worst displacement crisis in the world as the war continues with no end in sight.

About 30% of Sudan’s 48 million people (more than 14 million people) had to flee their homes because of the war.

According to the latest data from the International Organization for Migration (IOM), at least 11 million of them are internally displaced.

At least three million people have crossed international borders, putting great pressure on neighboring countries such as Chad, South Sudan and Egypt.

sudan war
11 million people internally displaced
Where did they come from and where were they going to settle? (Al Jazeera)

The main areas of origin for abstract people are:

  • Khartoum:3.7 million people displaced (33% of total)
  • South Darfur:2.1 million people displaced (19%)
  • North Darfur:1.6 million people were displaced (14.3%)

The main destinations for internally displaced people are:

  • South Darfur:1.8 million people displaced (17% of total)
  • North Darfur:1.5 million people displaced (14%)
  • Gadarif:About 1 million people are displaced (9%)

Despite many attempts to negotiate a ceasefire, the violence shows no signs of abating and millions of people are in dire need of aid.

How did the war in Sudan affect the people of Sudan and the region?

#Envisioning #Sudanese #War #Conflict #Control #Transition
2024-11-14 07:53:00

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