The day has finally arrived, but not necessarily the end, in the US elections

New York and Washington. The day has finally arrived, but not necessarily the end, of the national elections, with the closest technical tie between the two presidential candidates in decades, and with control of both chambers also in dispute, in which both sides of this still political duopoly ensure that the destiny and existence of democracy itself is at stake.

Trump held rallies in North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Michigan, which are among the 7 key states that will determine the national election, where he reiterated his attacks against his “low IQ” opponent, his warnings about transgender youth, and denouncing the “ invasion” of immigrants and threatening Mexico if it does not do what he wants to stop the migratory flow.

For her part, the Democratic candidate, Vice President <a href="https://www.world-today-news.com/donald-trump-whats-behind-the-us-presidents-baltimore-attack/" title="Donald Trump: What's behind the US President's Baltimore attack”>Kamala Harris, dedicated this entire last day to events to boost the vote in the key state of Pennsylvania, which she has to win to consolidate a victory at the national level. There she was accompanied by more stars, including Oprah Winfrey, Lady Gaga and Katy Perry. The entire final focus is on driving turnout, with his campaign reporting that 90,000 campaign volunteers knocked on more than 3 million doors in the seven key states this past weekend.

Both campaigns intend to continue encouraging the vote of their bases in the final hours of the race.

If there is one thing that the United States surpasses the rest of the world in an election, it is the flood of electoral information and analysis at such a level that there is not a single detail that is not incorporated into intense analysis, models and polls. But 24 hours before the election, the conclusion is that it is not known who will win, nor how, nor when it will be known.

In a sign of the climate of fear over possible violence during or after the election, businesses near the White House have placed wooden barriers over their storefronts.

Local police say they have no reliable information that violence will break out, but given the experience after the 2020 election, merchants are preparing.

What is known for now is that the participation, or not, of certain sectors will be decisive for both the presidential and legislative contests. Election observers will be examining in particular the participation of these sectors:

Women. Harris, in the polls, has a wide margin of advantage with women, and not only because she could be the first woman president of the United States, but also because the issue of reproductive rights is at the center of her message, and is one of the weaker flanks of the Trump campaign and his party. Harris enjoys an 11-point lead against Trump among women who intend to vote; Trump enjoys a 5-point lead among men, according to the final pre-election ABC News/Ipsos poll. Experts agree that women could be the most determining factor in this race and early voting by women already exceeds that of men by 10 points. Some leaders of this movement proclaim that “women will save this democracy.”

Latinos. The little more than 36 million Latinos with the right to vote in the United States could be decisive not only in the two key southwestern states, Nevada and Arizona, but also in other pivotal states such as Pennsylvania and Georgia, particularly if the margins remain so close. as predicted. A worrying trend for Harris is signs of a deterioration in support among Democrats. The latest New York Times/Siena poll recorded 52 percent
support for Harris among Latinos versus a surprising 42 percent for Trump; Four years ago Democrat Joe Biden won with more than 60 percent Latino support. But the level of their participation will define, as was the case in Nevada and Georgia four years ago, that Latinos were key in defeating Trump.

Youth. Young people historically participate less than other segments of the electorate for several reasons, but as demonstrated by their high participation in the campaigns of Bernie Sanders – the oldest Democratic candidate and with the greatest support from young people in 2016 and before Barack Obama’s first campaign -, a lot depends on the candidate and his message. A Harvard University poll this fall showed that among 18- to 29-year-olds, Harris enjoyed a 31-point lead over Trump among these likely voters (64 to 32 percent). But the positions of the Democrat and her government on Israel’s war against the Palestinians and a more conservative turn on issues such as the environment, firearms control and migration, have fueled disenchantment and anger among this sector, which which could depress their participation. The vast majority of young people will not vote for Trump, but they could simply not vote and thereby damage Harris’ hopes in all 7 key states.

Workers. Almost all national union leaders support Harris, but recognize that many industrial union members will be voting for billionaire Trump. The Teamsters, truck drivers, is one of the few national unions that did not endorse Harris, noting that nearly 60 percent of its members support Trump. However, the vote of union members in Nevada, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Georgia will be essential for Harris.