Analysis of the turbulent situation in Zhongnanhai: Zhang Youxia may join the Standing Committee as a military member |

[Naidheachdan New Tang Dynasty, àm Beijing, 31 Dàmhair, 2024]Various signs indicate,High bronze CCPFightingThe situation is becoming increasingly fierce, and there are even rumors that the leader of the Chinese Communist PartyXi Jinpingnews of the weakening of military power, andVice-Chairman of the Military CommissionZhang YouxiaHe also appeared quite often with a high profile. Some analysts believe that Zhang Youxia is not expected to become a member of the Politburo Central Committee as a military representative at a time of turbulent political conditions.

Since June,Zhang YouxiaAfter attending the Political Work Conference of the Central Military Commission of the Communist Party of China, he made at least ten high-profile appearances, including a rare meeting with the US Presidential Assistant for Sullivan’s National Security Affairs and a meeting with the Russian Defense Minister.

Recently, from October 14th to 15th, the CCP military theoretical work conference was held in Beijing. middleVice-Chairman of the Military CommissionZhang Youxia was present and delivered a speech. As Chairman of the Military CommissionXi JinpingHowever, he did not attend the meeting and only gave “important instructions” to the meeting.

On October 28, Xi Jinping chaired a meeting of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee. CCTV footage shows Zhang Youxia, the first vice chairman of the Military Commission, still sitting in the second row behind the Politburo Standing Committee meeting table, while He Weidong, the second vice chairman of the Military Commission, sitting. in the first row.

On October 30, independent reporter Cai Shenkun analyzed in his self-media program that the ranking of Beijing Politburo meetings is based on the strokes of the surname The character Zhang has more strokes than the character He , and Zhang sits behind He . There has been a lot of activity in the army lately.

On October 17, Xi Jinping inspected a group of the Rocket Force of the Communist Party of China, together with Zhang Youxia, Vice Chairman of the Central Military Commission. However, in the report of Caixin, a Chinese media outlet, the names of Xi and Zhang were rarely placed side by side in the headline, which was accused of sending a sensitive signal.

From October 20 to 22, the CCP military unified training site was held in Zhangjiakou, Hebei. Zhang Youxia, Vice Chairman of the Central Military Commission, was present and delivered a speech, and he also made arrangements for joint training for the soldiers.

Cai Shenkun said that in this speech, Zhang Youxia did not mention Xi Jinping’s speech when he studied the Rocket Force, and he did not mention political training or political military construction, let alone obeying Xi’s command or his be loyal

From October 24 to 26, Zhang Youxia, Vice Chairman of the Central Military Commission of the Communist Party of China, visited Vietnam and had high-profile meetings with the General Secretary of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of Vietnam Su Lin, President Liang Qiang, and the Prime Minister Pham Minh Ching, respectively, causes speculation.

Cai Shenkun said that if ​​Zhang Youxia went to Vietnam this time just to discuss military cooperation, there would be no need for these giants to come out to meet. The statement from China’s Ministry of National Defense did not reveal the content of the military cooperation discussed between the two sides, but Zhang said it was necessary to follow the general trend of history and continuously strengthen exchanges and cooperation in various fields. areas such as politics, economy, security, and the humanities.

Cai Shenkun believed that Zhang Youxia’s words really went beyond the authority of the Vice Chairman of the Military Commission. In a way, he seemed to be showing the outside world that he had gained more power. This statement also coincides with reports that overseas rights against Zhang have been rising recently.

Cai Shenkun analyzed that Zhang’s three-day visit to Vietnam was the focus of media attention of the Communist Party of Vietnam and he became President in October. Zhang Youxia met him because he wanted to have a more suitable status.

Zhang Youxia, 74, is also the oldest member of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party. Cai Shenkun said that according to the traditional rules of the Chinese Communist Party game, such an old man should withdraw from the political stage, but considering the special characteristics of the military, a former military commander is able to go- into the Standing Committee at the national level. For example, in the 1980s, Liu Huaqing, the Vice Chairman of the Central Military Commission, was nearly 80 years old when he became a member of the Central Committee of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee. It is not claimed that, in times of political turmoil, Zhang would join the Standing Committee as a military representative and play a role in stabilizing the military’s morale.

Current political reporter Zhou Xiaohui previously wrote an article in the Epoch Times that Zhang Youxia received a high-level reception from Vietnam Such a court is very rare and is the same as the treatment of Chinese Premier Li Qiang who visited eo a long time ago. Judging from the content of the meeting between Zhang Youxia and three senior Vietnamese officials reported by the Vietnamese media, it again shows signs of changes in power in the military power of Beijing Zhongnanhai and Xi.

(Editor: Tang Zheng)

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