How close will the popular election results be between Harris and Trump? But that doesn’t mean that the electoral college scores that each candidate gets will also be very close.
Who will win the election and become the President of the United States? Not the one who got the most votes in America. But he was the one who won 270 votes from each state’s electoral college ahead of his opponent. Each candidate will have their own voting state. which makes it enough to assess that It is now in the hands of each candidate. How many Electoral College votes are there?
CNN’s evaluation data shows that the Democratic Party’s “<a href="https://www.world-today-news.com/donald-trump-whats-behind-the-us-presidents-baltimore-attack/" title="Donald Trump: What's behind the US President's Baltimore attack”>Kamala Harris” currently has 226 votes in hand, 44 votes short of reaching 270 votes, while “Donald Trump” has 219 votes from the Party. Republicans and needs 51 more votes to reach the finish line.
According to the evaluation, although “Harris” is ahead of “Trump”, that is because the Democratic primary states tend to be large states with dense populations. This leads to a lot of votes from the electoral college as well. For example, California has 54 votes, considered the most in the country.
Or New York with 28 votes is considered an important Democratic base that is difficult for Republicans to penetrate, even if “Trump” invested in a big campaign level yesterday. Many analysts believe that “Trump” may be a waste of effort and money.
At the same time, the “Trump” base includes Texas with 40 votes, ranking second in the country, as well as Florida with 30 votes, which has now changed from a battleground state to a state with the movement now supporting the Republican Party.
The US presidential election is an election usually decided by scores in battleground states or Swing States, which are states that do not support any particular party. These include Arizona, Georgia, Wisconsin, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Michigan.
If you look at the results of the votes in these seven states from the election four years ago, you will see that the lowest margin of victory is in the tens of thousands in Arizona to 150,000 votes in Michigan. with only North State Only the Carolinas, where “Trump” won over “Joe Biden”, the rest swept “Biden” cleanly, especially Arizona and Georgia. which has elected only Republican candidates for at least 5 consecutive terms
Americans in each swing state have different priorities. Like the state of North Carolina, we now have to monitor that. How will Hurricane Helene affect each candidate’s approval rating after “Trump” accused the government of using disaster relief funds to help evacuees? Since 1980, the state has only elected a Democrat once: Barack Obama in the 2008 election.
Meanwhile, the Biden administration’s anti-war and pro-Israel policies in Gaza are losing support to Harris and other Democrats in Michigan. A major battleground state with the largest proportion of the Arab-American community in the country, nearly 400,000 people.
Pennsylvania is considered a state where both “Trump” and “Harris” and supporters of both political parties have campaigned several times. This state voted for Trump in the 2016 election and Biden in 2020.
while the website Five thirty eight Download a presentation on population numbers Economic conditions and poll results were created as a model of 1,000 conditions to see who would have a chance of winning the election. but this election will go three times without a winner. which is considered difficult to happen With a chance of happening less than 1 in 100.
Interestingly, the model’s predictions show that Trump has an 84% chance of winning states previously held by Biden in the 2020 election, opposite Harry.
This assessment is consistent with polls of the two previous candidates, which showed Harris leading only Wisconsin and Michigan. and leads by less than 1%, while in the remaining 5 swing states Trump has a lead. Especially in the states of North Carolina, Georgia and Arizona. where Trump leads by more than 1%.
Even though the election results for “Harris” are fading and beaten by “Trump” so that the score is equal now But from this information it is still not possible to decide that Who will be the winner?
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2024-10-29 05:13:00
