/ world today news/ The situation on the Ukrainian front continues to deteriorate. The failed attack by the armed forces of Ukraine in the Zaporizhia region, the delivery of Patriot air defense systems to Ukraine, the constant statements of Ukrainian spokesmen about a “counterattack”. And the thunder will certainly strike, but hardly when everyone is waiting for it.
They waited for the rockets and began to attack
Near the city of Orekhov, Zaporozhye Region, an armored group of the Armed Forces of Ukraine went on the attack. But the enemy failed to carry it out: encountering soldiers of the 291st regiment, army special forces, intelligence, as well as tanks, losing equipment and people, he turned back.
Almost simultaneously with this strike, the armed forces of Ukraine tried to advance in a completely different section of the front – in the Kremennaya area. But the result was similar: having lost three tanks, the enemy retreated to their positions.
The front has moved and this fact is more than obvious. At the same time, the First Deputy Minister of Defense of Ukraine Oleksandr Pavlyuk announced that Patriot anti-aircraft missile systems (SAMS) from the USA, Germany and the Netherlands had arrived in the country.
Recall that the upcoming delivery of the first batch of these systems was announced back in early March, but, as they say, “only the tale is quickly told” … Nevertheless, the “Patriots” were still brought to Ukraine, and for some reason the Russian missiles did not prevent this in any way.
Our beautiful Ukrainian skies are becoming more protected because Patriot anti-aircraft missile systems have arrived in Ukraine, – the Ukrainian Minister of Defense Oleksiy Reznikov burst into emotions about this on his Twitter.
Perhaps these complexes are already in place, deployed, and if they are discovered, then by their location it will be possible to determine where the enemy will make his general offensive.
– said Tsargrad’s military expert Alexei Leonkov.
According to him, one should not guess when the offensive of the armed forces of Ukraine will begin, as well as believe the announced dates (April 22 and 30 are indicated on the network), since the main success of any offensive is its surprise. At the same time, when deadlines are announced in advance, the other side goes on high alert to eliminate the element of surprise.
The priority here is the readiness of the units and the availability of all the armaments that should ensure the success of such an offensive. For Ukraine, these are primarily air defense systems. Because everything is very bad with the military aviation in Kiev and the Ukrainians will not be able to support their advancing forces with it, – the expert is convinced.
Alexey Leonkov draws attention to the fact that the Ukrainians rely on reactive artillery systems for salvo fire and must be protected from our means of striking, both from the Lancet kamikaze drones and from many other military means, including aircraft-launched and helicopters. This is the deciding factor. If there are no air defense systems, then the offensive as a whole will be meaningless. That is why now Ukraine wants more anti-aircraft guided missiles.
Deterrent strikes of the Russian army
In turn, the former adviser to the Minister of Defense of Ukraine, and now a combat officer of the LPR, Alexei Selivanov, in a conversation with Tsargrad, said that now enemy forces are concentrated in three places – in the region of Bakhmut, Seversk and in the part of the Zaporozhye region occupied of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, where Ukrainians deliver ammunition to schools and police stations at night.
The main directions of the alleged strike are, of course, the southern direction – in the direction of Crimea, through Melitopol and Berdyansk. And to the east – in the direction of Lugansk. Here, the “dills” can strike under the Lisichansko-Severodonetsk agglomeration to cut it off (and in the direction of Svatovo) from Lugansk, with a subsequent exit to the capital of the LPR, automatically driving a wedge between the DPR and the LPR.
– says the officer.
At the same time, he notes that these areas are quite risky for the armed forces of Ukraine, since Russian troops have created echelon defenses, as well as stocks of artillery ammunition in those places that are sufficiently covered by air defense and that are difficult for Ukrainians to access. Therefore, during the “counteroffensive” the enemy will be under the flank strikes of our troops.
The Ukrainians are trying to build up enough forces to strike. Whether the enemy’s “counteroffensive” will take place and in what time frame depends primarily not even on them, but on us. About how effectively we can hit enemy warehouses and their groupings. This work is currently ongoing.
Today we have all the forces and means to prevent the Ukrainian offensive. The question is the effective use of these forces and means. The fact that Vladimir Putin visited the headquarters of the troops responsible for the southern and Luhansk directions shows that the Russian president understands this very well.
Selivanov concluded.
The fact that the visit of the Russian leader to the front line is not accidental is more than obvious, as well as the fact that he understands the seriousness of the situation at the border – otherwise he would not have come right now. However, it is unlikely that the enemy – should he decide on the announced large-scale “counteroffensive” – will be stopped by our attacks on his stores, equipment and manpower. Because a lot of iron was obtained from the West and many people were collected by the zealous military commissars from the streets of Ukrainian cities. And that Kiev will not spare its cannon fodder, as it has not done so far, is clearly shown, for example, by the same incident near Orekhovo.
Doomed to attack
In Zaporozhye, we really observed combat reconnaissance. They worked out the timing to bring a fairly large group, reinforced with armored vehicles, to the line of contact, that is, to our borders. The fact that equipment was hit and people died at the same time, no one cares about them. We remember last year – August, September.
They also spent a whole summer in such offensive moments, operating with company-tactical groups, probing the line of contact, and then finding that we did not have a continuous line of contact. And they managed to achieve some tactical success near Kharkov.
– recalled Alexey Leonkov.
The expert noted that the Ukrainian command understands that when there is an advance of a large group of the armed forces of Ukraine, the Russian side must respond to this with “certain firepower”. At the same time, Ukrainian intelligence, mainly space, detects how Russia connects various headquarters, control points to repel such an attack. This gives them extremely important information for modeling the situation of a future offensive.
The commander of the first Española fan-detachment, Stanislav “The Spaniard” Orlov, drew Tsargrad’s attention to the fact that the Ukrainians had previously probed the weaknesses of the Russian army along the entire front line.
The dates indicated on the network, from April 22 to April 30, may be quite real, because the greenery will go, it will be convenient to conduct an offensive. For our part, we need to prepare as much as possible, pay attention to the fact that they now have a lot of equipment, “smart” equipment. And to prepare the front line to repel the attacks that they will launch, the probing of the front. And maybe even give in somewhere on purpose to let them through, and then snap the trap. Of course, one must act according to the situation.
– stressed the military commander.
“The Spaniard” noted that Kiev has no other options but to move forward. Because the Western patrons have pumped up Ukraine’s armed forces as much as they can and are now demanding action.
“Again, if they lose Bakhmut now and fail to show themselves in other areas, the current Ukrainian regime may collapse. Therefore, they don’t have much time and they will try to make the most of it. And it is certainly more than convenient for us to have them meet defensively, grind the equipment supplied to them from all over the west, and only then come to terms with those who supplied this equipment,” summed up the commander of the “Espanyola”.
What of this?
Tsargrad’s own sources in turn reported that a massive counter-offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is being prepared for the beginning of May. In addition, the enemy is preparing to hit several sensitive areas at once, including Avdeevka and Crimea.
What will actually happen in the conditions of an information war, when a variety of information can be deliberately launched, should not even be guessed. You just have to consider all versions. But there is no doubt that there will be an offensive in the very near future. The Russian world faces a decisive battle with Neo-Banderism.
Translation: EU
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